Christian Braun

Denver Nuggets · G · #0

TOR @ DEN · Today 9:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Steals, typical price +1401 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Spencer Jones: Out (hamstring)
Over 1.5 without him: 8 of 23; with him: 7 of 33 (56 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
TOR allow 3.7 steals a game to guards: 22nd most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 36.8 min · 2025–26: 31.7 (50 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs POR

60%6 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Steals cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 4 at home).

at MIN, 2026-04-23: 0, missed, 24 min
at MIN, 2026-04-25: 1, missed, 34 min
vs MIN, 2026-04-27: 3, cleared, 31 min
at MIN, 2026-04-30: 0, missed, 28 min
at OKC, 2026-10-22: 1, missed, 33 min
vs NO, 2026-10-24: 2, cleared, 40 min
vs GS, 2026-10-26: 3, cleared, 34 min
at NO, 2026-10-28: 3, cleared, 36 min
at PHX, 2026-10-30: 3, cleared, 37 min
vs POR, 2026-11-02: 2, cleared, 37 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against TOR in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 0 of 4 against TOR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L10

Nikola JokicC
Jamal MurrayG
Aaron GordonF
Spencer JonesFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Nuggets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs TOR

Steals: 0 in 33 min, Mar 20 (home)

Over 1.5 hit in 0 of 4 games against TOR on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 1.8; +0.3 vs line
Median: 2; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 42%; at +140
Books’ fair: 39%; margin removed
Minutes: 33.4; 10 games · 31.7 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 39%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−3601 book	—	8/10
+1401 book	−1881 book	6/10
+4301 book	—	4/10
+11001 book	—	0/10

Compare 1 sportsbook and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Steals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
FanDuel5 min ago	+140Best	−188Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 12:24 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over No move since first seen

Christian Braun's full game log and splits