Christian Braun
TOR @ DEN · Tomorrow 9:00 PMWhat's different tonight
Over 16.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Spencer Jones: Out (hamstring)
Over 16.5 without him: 12 of 23; with him: 13 of 33 (56 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 36.8 min · 2025–26: 31.7 (50 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs POR
Game lines
DEN −4.5 · total 231.5 (7 sportsbooks)
DEN's games this season closed at 236.2 on average (6 games)
Game log against Over 16.5
30%3 of 10L10
Over 16.5 Pts+Reb cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 at home).
Splits
Over 16.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against TOR in his last 10; Over 16.5 cleared in 2 of 4 against TOR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 16.5 · L10Nikola JokicC
Jamal MurrayG
Aaron GordonF
Spencer JonesFOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Nuggets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs TOR
Pts+Reb: 15 in 33 min, Mar 20 (home)
Over 16.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against TOR on record
L10 · Over 16.5
- Average
- 14.7
- −1.8 vs line
- Median
- 13
- −3.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 30%
- 3 of 10
- Price implies
- 56%
- at −125
- Books’ fair
- 52%
- margin removed
- Minutes
- 33.4
- 10 games · 31.7 in 2025–26
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 16.5 52%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −1251 book | −1061 book | 3/10 |
Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 16.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 16.5 | Under 16.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel5 min ago | −125Best | −106Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 10:09 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
16.5Over −118 → −125 since first seen


