Andrew Nembhard

Indiana Pacers · G · #2

IND @ MEM · Live

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Steals, typical price −2253 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

65%11 of 17L20 · Without Haliburton

Over 0.5 Steals cleared in 11 of 17 games without Tyrese Haliburton (his last 20 games).

at WSH, 2026-02-19: 0, missed, 22 min
vs DAL, 2026-02-22: 1, cleared, 30 min
vs PHI, 2026-02-24: 1, cleared, 28 min
vs CHA, 2026-02-26: 1, cleared, 29 min
at LAC, 2026-03-04: 1, cleared, 24 min
at LAL, 2026-03-06: 1, cleared, 31 min
at POR, 2026-03-08: 2, cleared, 28 min
vs PHX, 2026-03-12: 1, cleared, 17 min
vs NY, 2026-03-13: 2, cleared, 32 min
at SA, 2026-03-21: 1, cleared, 28 min
at ORL, 2026-03-23: 0, missed, 35 min
vs LAL, 2026-03-25: 0, missed, 34 min
vs LAC, 2026-03-27: 1, cleared, 32 min
vs MIA, 2026-03-29: 0, missed, 36 min
at NO, 2026-10-21: 1, cleared, 34 min (not counted)
vs DAL, 2026-10-23: 1, cleared, 32 min (not counted)
at BKN, 2026-10-25: 1, cleared, 30 min (not counted)
vs PHI, 2026-10-28: 0, missed, 35 min
at MIA, 2026-10-30: 0, missed, 30 min
vs BKN, 2026-11-01: 1, cleared, 35 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for Wednesday's game: a typical game lands 0–2 steals.

What's different on Wednesday

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

WedTeammate out
Tyrese Haliburton: Out (hamstring)
Over 0.5 without him: 34 of 60; with him: 16 of 20 (80 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Kelly Oubre Jr.: Out (calf)
Over 0.5 without him: no games; with him: 4 of 6 (6 games as teammates)
Teammate out
T.J. McConnell: Out (hamstring)
Over 0.5 without him: 7 of 14; with him: 43 of 66 (80 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
MEM allow 3.6 steals a game to guards: 24th most of 30
7 games

Splits

Over 0.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against MEM in his last 20; Over 0.5 cleared in 2 of 2 against MEM on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L20

Pascal SiakamF
Tyrese HaliburtonGOut
Aaron NesmithG
Kelly Oubre Jr.GOut
T.J. McConnellGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out on Wednesday. Only games they were teammates on the Pacers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MEM

Nembhard didn't play the Mar 1 meeting; steals the last time Nembhard faced them: 2 (Feb 20, 2025)

Over 0.5 hit in 2 of 2 games against MEM on record

L20 · Without Haliburton · Over 0.5

Average: 0.8; +0.3 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 65%; 11 of 17
Price implies: 69%; at −225
Books’ fair: 66%; margin removed
Our chance: 61%; estimate · fair −155

Research, not a pick. At −175 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −155, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Haliburton

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−2253 books	+1731 book	11/17
+2203 books	—	2/17
+6602 books	—	0/17
+16401 book	—	0/17

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Steals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Bally Bet29 hr ago	−175Best	—
Bovada29 hr ago	−225	—
DraftKings29 hr ago	−234	+173Best
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 8:11 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: No move since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%

Andrew Nembhard's full game log and splits

This page last updated 8:13 PM ET.