Andrew Nembhard
IND @ MEM · Today 8:00 PM
Game log against Under 2.5
71%12 of 17L20 · Without Haliburton
Under 2.5 3-Pointers Made hit in 12 of 17 games without Tyrese Haliburton (his last 20 games).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–4 3-pointers made.
What's different today
Under 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick2 of his 7 hits in the last 10 came with Tyrese Haliburton playing; Haliburton is out today. Without him: Under 2.5 in 43 of 60.
TodayTeammate out
Tyrese Haliburton: Out (hamstring)
Under 2.5 without him: 43 of 60; with him: 17 of 20 (80 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Obi Toppin: Out (back)
Under 2.5 without him: 32 of 48; with him: 28 of 32 (80 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Ivica Zubac: Out (ankle)
Under 2.5 without him: 6 of 8; with him: 4 of 5 (13 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
MEM allow 6.4 threes made a game to guards: 24th most of 30
7 games
Splits
Under 2.5 · L20 · counts, not in orderNo game against MEM in his last 20; Under 2.5 hit in 2 of 2 against MEM on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 2.5 · L20Pascal SiakamF
Tyrese HaliburtonGOut
Aaron NesmithG
Obi ToppinFOut
Ivica ZubacCOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Pacers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs MEM
Nembhard didn't play the Mar 1 meeting; 3-pointers made the last time Nembhard faced them: 1 (Feb 20, 2025)
Under 2.5 hit in 2 of 2 games against MEM on record
L20 · Without Haliburton · Under 2.5
- Average
- 2
- −0.5 vs line
- Median
- 2
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 71%
- 12 of 17
- Price implies
- 63%
- at −171
- Books’ fair
- 59%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 63%
- estimate · fair −167
Research, not a pick. At −160 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −167, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L20 · Without Haliburton| Line | Over | Under | L20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −16003 books | — | 2/17 | |
| −2296 books | +1751 book | 6/17 | |
| +1307 books | −1716 books | 12/17 | |
| +3106 books | — | 15/17 | |
| +6506 books | — | 16/17 | |
| +15003 books | — | 17/17 | |
| +28003 books | — | 17/17 |
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel5 min ago | +124 | −160Best |
| Pinnacle6 min ago | +126 | −168 |
| Bovada6 min ago | +130 | −170 |
| DraftKings6 min ago | +129 | −171 |
| betPARX5 min ago | +133Best | −180 |
| BetRivers4 min ago | +133Best | −182 |
| Bally Bet6 min ago | +133Best | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 5:30 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
2.5Under: −166 → −171 since first seen