Andrew Nembhard

Indiana Pacers · G · #2

IND @ MEM · Live

Over Under21.5

Under 21.5 Pts+Reb, typical price −1353 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

59%10 of 17L20 · Without Haliburton

Under 21.5 Pts+Reb hit in 10 of 17 games without Tyrese Haliburton (his last 20 games).

at WSH, 2026-02-19: 6, hit, 22 min
vs DAL, 2026-02-22: 23, missed, 30 min
vs PHI, 2026-02-24: 24, missed, 28 min
vs CHA, 2026-02-26: 23, missed, 29 min
at LAC, 2026-03-04: 9, hit, 24 min
at LAL, 2026-03-06: 19, hit, 31 min
at POR, 2026-03-08: 16, hit, 28 min
vs PHX, 2026-03-12: 23, missed, 17 min
vs NY, 2026-03-13: 13, hit, 32 min
at SA, 2026-03-21: 26, missed, 28 min
at ORL, 2026-03-23: 20, hit, 35 min
vs LAL, 2026-03-25: 16, hit, 34 min
vs LAC, 2026-03-27: 14, hit, 32 min
vs MIA, 2026-03-29: 18, hit, 36 min
at NO, 2026-10-21: 20, hit, 34 min (not counted)
vs DAL, 2026-10-23: 18, hit, 32 min (not counted)
at BKN, 2026-10-25: 15, hit, 30 min (not counted)
vs PHI, 2026-10-28: 21, hit, 35 min
at MIA, 2026-10-30: 24, missed, 30 min
vs BKN, 2026-11-01: 26, missed, 35 min

Under hitMissedThe 21.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 11.2–28.5 pts+reb.

What's different yesterday

Under 21.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

3 of his 8 hits in the last 10 came with Tyrese Haliburton playing; Haliburton is out yesterday. Without him: Under 21.5 in 32 of 60.

YesterdayTeammate out
Tyrese Haliburton: Out (hamstring)
Under 21.5 without him: 32 of 60; with him: 20 of 20 (80 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Kelly Oubre Jr.: Out (calf)
Under 21.5 without him: no games; with him: 4 of 6 (6 games as teammates)
Teammate out
T.J. McConnell: Out (hamstring)
Under 21.5 without him: 8 of 14; with him: 44 of 66 (80 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 32.4 min · 2025–26: 31.3 (57 games)

Splits

Under 21.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against MEM in his last 20; Under 21.5 hit in 2 of 2 against MEM on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 21.5 · L20

Pascal SiakamF
Tyrese HaliburtonGOut
Aaron NesmithG
Kelly Oubre Jr.GOut
T.J. McConnellGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Pacers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MEM

Nembhard didn't play the Mar 1 meeting; pts+reb the last time Nembhard faced them: 14 (Feb 20, 2025)

Under 21.5 hit in 2 of 2 games against MEM on record

L20 · Without Haliburton · Under 21.5

Average: 18.9; −2.6 vs line
Median: 20; −1.5 vs line
Hit rate: 59%; 10 of 17
Price implies: 57%; at −135
Books’ fair: 52%; margin removed
Our chance: 57%; estimate · fair −134

Research, not a pick. At −119 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −134, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L20 · Without Haliburton

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−5643 books	—	4/17
−1623 books	+1151 book	8/17
−1201 book	−1101 book	9/17
−1093 books	−1352 books	10/17
+1633 books	—	15/17
+4092 books	—	17/17
+10402 books	—	17/17

Compare 3 sportsbooks at 21.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 21.5 Pts+Reb, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 21.5	Under 21.5
DraftKings14 hr ago	−110	−119Best
Bovada14 hr ago	+105Best	−135
Bally Bet14 hr ago	−109	—

Prices as of 8:11 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

21.5

20.5 → 21.5 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%

Andrew Nembhard's full game log and splits

This page last updated 8:13 PM ET.