Andrew Nembhard

Indiana Pacers · G · #2

IND @ MEM · Live

Over Under3.5

Under 3.5 Rebounds, typical price −1804 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

82%14 of 17L20 · Without Haliburton

Under 3.5 Rebounds hit in 14 of 17 games without Tyrese Haliburton (his last 20 games).

at WSH, 2026-02-19: 1, hit, 22 min
vs DAL, 2026-02-22: 1, hit, 30 min
vs PHI, 2026-02-24: 1, hit, 28 min
vs CHA, 2026-02-26: 3, hit, 29 min
at LAC, 2026-03-04: 4, missed, 24 min
at LAL, 2026-03-06: 2, hit, 31 min
at POR, 2026-03-08: 2, hit, 28 min
vs PHX, 2026-03-12: 0, hit, 17 min
vs NY, 2026-03-13: 5, missed, 32 min
at SA, 2026-03-21: 1, hit, 28 min
at ORL, 2026-03-23: 7, missed, 35 min
vs LAL, 2026-03-25: 2, hit, 34 min
vs LAC, 2026-03-27: 1, hit, 32 min
vs MIA, 2026-03-29: 3, hit, 36 min
at NO, 2026-10-21: 2, hit, 34 min (not counted)
vs DAL, 2026-10-23: 2, hit, 32 min (not counted)
at BKN, 2026-10-25: 1, hit, 30 min (not counted)
vs PHI, 2026-10-28: 3, hit, 35 min
at MIA, 2026-10-30: 2, hit, 30 min
vs BKN, 2026-11-01: 3, hit, 35 min

Under hitMissedThe 3.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 0–6 rebounds.

What's different yesterday

Under 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

3 of his last 9 came with Tyrese Haliburton playing; Haliburton is out yesterday. Without him: Under 3.5 in 41 of 60.

YesterdayTeammate out
Tyrese Haliburton: Out (hamstring)
Under 3.5 without him: 41 of 60; with him: 12 of 20 (80 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Kelly Oubre Jr.: Out (calf)
Under 3.5 without him: no games; with him: 6 of 6 (6 games as teammates)
Teammate out
T.J. McConnell: Out (hamstring)
Under 3.5 without him: 14 of 14; with him: 39 of 66 (80 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
MEM allow 14.7 rebounds a game to guards: 21st most of 30
7 games

Splits

Under 3.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against MEM in his last 20; Under 3.5 hit in 2 of 2 against MEM on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 3.5 · L20

Pascal SiakamF
Tyrese HaliburtonGOut
Aaron NesmithG
Kelly Oubre Jr.GOut
T.J. McConnellGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Pacers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MEM

Nembhard didn't play the Mar 1 meeting; rebounds the last time Nembhard faced them: 3 (Feb 20, 2025)

Under 3.5 hit in 2 of 2 games against MEM on record

L20 · Without Haliburton · Under 3.5

Average: 2.4; −1.1 vs line
Median: 2; −1.5 vs line
Hit rate: 82%; 14 of 17
Price implies: 64%; at −180
Books’ fair: 59%; margin removed
Our chance: 66%; estimate · fair −193

Research, not a pick. At −153 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −193, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L20 · Without Haliburton

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−6002 books	—	6/17
−1884 books	+1201 book	10/17
+1334 books	−1803 books	14/17
+2754 books	—	15/17
+5102 books	—	16/17
+10002 books	—	16/17
+18201 book	—	17/17

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 3.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 3.5 Rebounds, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 3.5	Under 3.5
DraftKings13 hr ago	+116	−153Best
Pinnacle13 hr ago	+134	−180
Bovada13 hr ago	+145Best	−190
Bally Bet13 hr ago	+133	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 8:11 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

−172 → −180 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%

Andrew Nembhard's full game log and splits

This page last updated 8:13 PM ET.