Alperen Sengun
MIN @ HOU · Today 8:30 PM
What's different today
Over 19.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Steven Adams: Out (calf)
Over 19.5 without him: 24 of 57; with him: 17 of 28 (85 games as teammates)
Defense vs centers
MIN allow 14.0 points a game to centers: 17th most of 30
8 games
Minutes
Last 5: 35.4 min · 2025–26: 33.8 (78 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs BOS
Game log against Over 19.5
50%5 of 10L10
Over 19.5 Points cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (4 of 7 at home).
Splits
Over 19.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against MIN in his last 10; Over 19.5 cleared in 6 of 9 against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 19.5 · L10Kevin DurantF
Amen ThompsonG
Jabari Smith Jr.F
Steven AdamsCOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Rockets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs MIN
Points: 22 in 29 min, Apr 10 (home)
Over 19.5 hit in 6 of 9 games against MIN on record
L10 · Over 19.5
- Average
- 22.3
- +2.8 vs line
- Median
- 21
- +1.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −111
- Books’ fair
- 49%
- margin removed
- Minutes
- 36.8
- 10 games · 33.8 in 2025–26
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 19.5 49%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −4602 books | — | 9/10 | |
| −2783 books | — | 9/10 | |
| −1754 books | — | 6/10 | |
| −1116 books | −1185 books | 5/10 | |
| +1403 books | — | 5/10 | |
| +2103 books | — | 4/10 | |
| +2242 books | — | 4/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 19.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 19.5 | Under 19.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet5 min ago | −109Best | — |
| betPARX7 min ago | −109Best | −121 |
| BetRivers7 min ago | −110 | −122 |
| DraftKings5 min ago | −111 | −115 |
| Pinnacle5 min ago | −112 | −118 |
| FanDuel5 min ago | −118 | −114Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 4:34 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
19.5−108 → −111 since first seen