Alperen Sengun
MIN @ HOU · Today 8:30 PMWhat's different today
Over 28.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Steven Adams: Out (calf)
Over 28.5 without him: 24 of 57; with him: 18 of 28 (85 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 35.4 min · 2025–26: 33.8 (78 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs BOS
Game lines
HOU −8.5 · total 220.5 (8 sportsbooks)
HOU's games this season closed at 224.5 on average (8 games)
Game log against Over 28.5
50%5 of 10L10
Over 28.5 Pts+Reb cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (4 of 7 at home).
Splits
Over 28.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against MIN in his last 10; Over 28.5 cleared in 5 of 9 against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 28.5 · L10Kevin DurantF
Amen ThompsonG
Jabari Smith Jr.F
Steven AdamsCOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Rockets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs MIN
Pts+Reb: 28 in 29 min, Apr 10 (home)
Over 28.5 hit in 5 of 9 games against MIN on record
L10 · Over 28.5
- Average
- 31.8
- +3.3 vs line
- Median
- 30.5
- +2 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 55%
- at −120
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Minutes
- 36.8
- 10 games · 33.8 in 2025–26
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 28.5 50%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2653 books | — | 9/10 | |
| −1204 books | −1142 books | 5/10 | |
| +1003 books | — | 5/10 | |
| +2403 books | — | 3/10 |
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 28.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 28.5 | Under 28.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel1 min ago | −114Best | −114Best |
| Bally Bet2 min ago | −120 | — |
| betPARX3 min ago | −120 | −114Best |
| BetRivers3 min ago | −120 | — |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 1:04 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
28.5Over −113 → −120 since first seen


