Alperen Sengun

Houston Rockets · C · #28

MIN @ HOU · Today 8:30 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Blocks, typical price −1602 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayDefense vs centers
MIN allow 2.1 blocks a game to centers: 3rd most of 30
8 games
Teammate out
Steven Adams: Out (calf)
Over 0.5 without him: 36 of 57; with him: 18 of 28 (85 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 35.4 min · 2025–26: 33.8 (78 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs BOS

80%8 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Blocks cleared in 8 of his last 10 games (6 of 7 at home).

vs LAL, 2026-04-24: 1, cleared, 47 min
vs LAL, 2026-04-26: 1, cleared, 33 min
at LAL, 2026-04-29: 1, cleared, 43 min
vs LAL, 2026-05-01: 2, cleared, 38 min
vs DAL, 2026-10-21: 0, missed, 30 min
at SA, 2026-10-23: 1, cleared, 36 min
at ATL, 2026-10-24: 0, missed, 33 min
vs ATL, 2026-10-26: 1, cleared, 37 min
vs OKC, 2026-10-31: 1, cleared, 33 min
vs BOS, 2026-11-02: 2, cleared, 38 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 blocks.

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIN in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 5 of 9 against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Kevin DurantF
Amen ThompsonG
Jabari Smith Jr.F
Steven AdamsCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Rockets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIN

Blocks: 1 in 29 min, Apr 10 (home)

Over 0.5 hit in 5 of 9 games against MIN on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 1; +0.5 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 80%; 8 of 10
Price implies: 62%; at −160
Books’ fair: 58%; margin removed
Our chance: 62%; estimate · fair −165

Research, not a pick. At −160 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −165, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−1602 books	+1202 books	8/10
+2742 books	—	2/10
+8902 books	—	0/10
+21001 book	—	0/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Blocks, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings4 min ago	−160Best	+120Best
FanDuel3 min ago	−160Best	+120Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 3:19 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: −162 → −160 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+1%

Alperen Sengun's full game log and splits