Alex SarrDay-To-Day
ATL @ WSH · Today 7:00 PMWhat's different today
Over 8.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Tristan Vukcevic: Out (hip)
Over 8.5 without him: 17 of 26; with him: 16 of 28 (54 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jamir Watkins: Out (knee)
Over 8.5 without him: 20 of 30; with him: 10 of 21 (51 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 25.8 min · 2025–26: 27.2 (48 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at ORL
Sarr sat the last game (Nov 2)
Game log against Over 8.5
40%4 of 10L10
Over 8.5 Reb+Ast cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).
Splits
Over 8.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against ATL in his last 10; Over 8.5 cleared in 3 of 4 against ATL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 8.5 · L10Anthony DavisF
AJ DybantsaF
Trae YoungG
Tristan VukcevicFOut
Jamir WatkinsGOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Wizards count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs ATL
Sarr didn't play the Feb 26 meeting; reb+ast the last time Sarr faced them: 11 (Nov 25, 2025)
Over 8.5 hit in 3 of 4 games against ATL on record
L10 · Over 8.5
- Average
- 8.1
- −0.4 vs line
- Median
- 7.5
- −1 vs line
- Hit rate
- 40%
- 4 of 10
- Price implies
- 49%
- at +105
- Books’ fair
- 46%
- margin removed
- Minutes
- 24.1
- 10 games · 27.2 in 2025–26
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 8.5 46%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −10001 book | — | 10/10 | |
| −2751 book | +2001 book | 6/10 | |
| −1603 books | +1082 books | 5/10 | |
| +1055 books | −1373 books | 4/10 | |
| +1604 books | — | 3/10 | |
| +3601 book | — | 2/10 | |
| +11001 book | — | 0/10 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks at 8.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 8.5 | Under 8.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet10 min ago | +105Best | — |
| betPARX6 min ago | +105Best | −139 |
| BetRivers6 min ago | +105Best | — |
| Bovada10 min ago | +105Best | −135Best |
| DraftKings10 min ago | +104 | −137 |
Prices as of 4:39 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
8.57.5 → 8.5 since first seen


