Alex SarrDay-To-Day

Washington Wizards · C · #20

ATL @ WSH · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under6.5

Over 6.5 Rebounds, typical price +1183 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 6.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Tristan Vukcevic: Out (hip)
Over 6.5 without him: 14 of 26; with him: 14 of 28 (54 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jamir Watkins: Out (knee)
Over 6.5 without him: 19 of 30; with him: 7 of 21 (51 games as teammates)
Defense vs centers
ATL allow 11.3 rebounds a game to centers: 9th most of 30
8 games
Minutes
Last 5: 25.8 min · 2025–26: 27.2 (48 games)

30%3 of 10L10

Over 6.5 Rebounds cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 at home).

at BOS, 2026-03-14: 5, missed, 22 min
vs DET, 2026-03-19: 3, missed, 21 min
vs OKC, 2026-03-21: 5, missed, 22 min
at GS, 2026-03-27: 9, cleared, 23 min
vs MIL, 2026-10-21: 9, cleared, 24 min
vs TOR, 2026-10-23: 4, missed, 25 min
at CHI, 2026-10-24: 2, missed, 23 min
at CHA, 2026-10-26: 6, missed, 26 min
at CLE, 2026-10-28: 4, missed, 26 min
vs CHA, 2026-10-30: 8, cleared, 29 min

ClearedMissedThe 6.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 6.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against ATL in his last 10; Over 6.5 cleared in 3 of 4 against ATL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 6.5 · L10

Anthony DavisF
AJ DybantsaF
Trae YoungG
Tristan VukcevicFOut
Jamir WatkinsGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Wizards count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs ATL

Sarr didn't play the Feb 26 meeting; rebounds the last time Sarr faced them: 11 (Nov 25, 2025)

Over 6.5 hit in 3 of 4 games against ATL on record

L10 · Over 6.5

Average: 5.5; −1 vs line
Median: 5; −1.5 vs line
Hit rate: 30%; 3 of 10
Price implies: 46%; at +118
Books’ fair: 44%; margin removed
Minutes: 24.1; 10 games · 27.2 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 6.5 44%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−6802 books	—	8/10
−3181 book	—	6/10
−1702 books	—	4/10
+1183 books	−1583 books	3/10
+1762 books	—	3/10
+2901 book	—	2/10
+4802 books	—	0/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 6.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 6.5 Rebounds, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 6.5	Under 6.5
FanDuel5 min ago	+118Best	−158
Pinnacle6 min ago	+118Best	−158
DraftKings6 min ago	+104	−138Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 12:08 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

6.5

Over No move since first seen

Alex Sarr's full game log and splits