Alex SarrDay-To-Day

Washington Wizards · C · #20

ATL @ WSH · Tomorrow 7:00 PM

Over Under16.5

Over 16.5 Pts+Reb, typical price −1252 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 16.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Tristan Vukcevic: Out (hip)
Over 16.5 without him: 20 of 26; with him: 22 of 28 (54 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jamir Watkins: Out (knee)
Over 16.5 without him: 21 of 30; with him: 18 of 21 (51 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 25.8 min · 2025–26: 27.2 (48 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at ORL
Sarr sat the last game (Nov 2)

40%4 of 10L10

Over 16.5 Pts+Reb cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (1 of 5 at home).

at BOS, 2026-03-14: 9, missed, 22 min
vs DET, 2026-03-19: 5, missed, 21 min
vs OKC, 2026-03-21: 19, cleared, 22 min
at GS, 2026-03-27: 17, cleared, 23 min
vs MIL, 2026-10-21: 15, missed, 24 min
vs TOR, 2026-10-23: 11, missed, 25 min
at CHI, 2026-10-24: 12, missed, 23 min
at CHA, 2026-10-26: 18, cleared, 26 min
at CLE, 2026-10-28: 22, cleared, 26 min
vs CHA, 2026-10-30: 11, missed, 29 min

ClearedMissedThe 16.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 16.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against ATL in his last 10; Over 16.5 cleared in 2 of 4 against ATL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 16.5 · L10

Anthony DavisF
AJ DybantsaF
Trae YoungG
Tristan VukcevicFOut
Jamir WatkinsGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Wizards count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs ATL

Sarr didn't play the Feb 26 meeting; pts+reb the last time Sarr faced them: 38 (Nov 25, 2025)

Over 16.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against ATL on record

L10 · Over 16.5

Average: 13.9; −2.6 vs line
Median: 13.5; −3 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 4 of 10
Price implies: 56%; at −125
Books’ fair: 52%; margin removed
Minutes: 24.1; 10 games · 27.2 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 16.5 52%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−9801 book	—	8/10
−1941 book	—	5/10
−1252 books	−1052 books	4/10
+1671 book	—	1/10
+4891 book	—	0/10
+13201 book	—	0/10
+25001 book	—	0/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 16.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 16.5 Pts+Reb, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 16.5	Under 16.5
DraftKings12 min ago	−121Best	−109
FanDuel1 min ago	−130	−102Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 8:49 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

16.5

Over No move since first seen

Alex Sarr's full game log and splits