Alex SarrDay-To-Day

Washington Wizards · C · #20

ATL @ WSH · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Assists, typical price −1482 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayDefense vs centers
ATL allow 5.3 assists a game to centers: the most of 30
8 games
Teammate out
Tristan Vukcevic: Out (hip)
Over 1.5 without him: 20 of 26; with him: 18 of 28 (54 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jamir Watkins: Out (knee)
Over 1.5 without him: 20 of 30; with him: 15 of 21 (51 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 25.8 min · 2025–26: 27.2 (48 games)

70%7 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Assists cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 at home).

at BOS, 2026-03-14: 0, missed, 22 min
vs DET, 2026-03-19: 2, cleared, 21 min
vs OKC, 2026-03-21: 8, cleared, 22 min
at GS, 2026-03-27: 3, cleared, 23 min
vs MIL, 2026-10-21: 2, cleared, 24 min
vs TOR, 2026-10-23: 5, cleared, 25 min
at CHI, 2026-10-24: 3, cleared, 23 min
at CHA, 2026-10-26: 1, missed, 26 min
at CLE, 2026-10-28: 2, cleared, 26 min
vs CHA, 2026-10-30: 0, missed, 29 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against ATL in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 2 of 4 against ATL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L10

Anthony DavisF
AJ DybantsaF
Trae YoungG
Tristan VukcevicFOut
Jamir WatkinsGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Wizards count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs ATL

Sarr didn't play the Feb 26 meeting; assists the last time Sarr faced them: 0 (Nov 25, 2025)

Over 1.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against ATL on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 2.6; +1.1 vs line
Median: 2; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 60%; at −148
Books’ fair: 56%; margin removed
Minutes: 24.1; 10 games · 27.2 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 56%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−1482 books	+1122 books	7/10
+1961 book	—	4/10
+4942 books	—	2/10
+11401 book	—	2/10
+22001 book	—	1/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
DraftKings3 min ago	−148Best	+112Best
FanDuel3 min ago	−148Best	+112Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 12:08 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

−153 → −148 since first seen

Alex Sarr's full game log and splits