Alex SarrDay-To-Day
ATL @ WSH · Today 7:00 PM
What's different today
Over 10.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayDefense vs centers
ATL allow 22.5 points a game to centers: the most of 30
8 games
Teammate out
Tristan Vukcevic: Out (hip)
Over 10.5 without him: 19 of 26; with him: 20 of 28 (54 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jamir Watkins: Out (knee)
Over 10.5 without him: 20 of 30; with him: 17 of 21 (51 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 25.8 min · 2025–26: 27.2 (48 games)
Game log against Over 10.5
30%3 of 10L10
Over 10.5 Points cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (1 of 5 at home).
Splits
Over 10.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against ATL in his last 10; Over 10.5 cleared in 3 of 4 against ATL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 10.5 · L10Anthony DavisF
AJ DybantsaF
Trae YoungG
Tristan VukcevicFOut
Jamir WatkinsGOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Wizards count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs ATL
Sarr didn't play the Feb 26 meeting; points the last time Sarr faced them: 27 (Nov 25, 2025)
Over 10.5 hit in 3 of 4 games against ATL on record
L10 · Over 10.5
- Average
- 8.4
- −2.1 vs line
- Median
- 7.5
- −3 vs line
- Hit rate
- 30%
- 3 of 10
- Price implies
- 52%
- at −110
- Books’ fair
- 49%
- margin removed
- Minutes
- 24.1
- 10 games · 27.2 in 2025–26
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 10.5 49%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −6701 book | — | 7/10 | |
| −2863 books | — | 5/10 | |
| −1504 books | — | 4/10 | |
| −1105 books | −1165 books | 3/10 | |
| +1233 books | — | 3/10 | |
| +2102 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +2652 books | — | 1/10 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 10.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 10.5 | Under 10.5 |
|---|---|---|
| betPARX1 min ago | −109Best | −122 |
| BetRivers1 min ago | −110 | −124 |
| DraftKings4 min ago | −110 | −116 |
| FanDuel3 min ago | −114 | −114 |
| Pinnacle4 min ago | −118 | −112Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 2:15 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
10.5−118 → −110 since first seen