Ace Bailey
UTAH @ NO · LiveGame log against Over 21.5
56%9 of 16L20 · Without Jackson
Over 21.5 Pts+Reb+Ast cleared in 9 of 16 games without Jaren Jackson Jr. (his last 20 games).
What's different yesterday
Over 21.5 · facts from past games, not a pickYesterdayTeammate out
Jaren Jackson Jr.: Out (knee)
Over 21.5 without him: 16 of 27; with him: 3 of 7 (34 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jusuf Nurkic: Out (foot)
Over 21.5 without him: 22 of 41; with him: 9 of 38 (79 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
NO allow 85.4 points + rebounds + assists a game to guards: 18th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 32.8 min · 2025–26: 27.6 (72 games)
Splits
Over 21.5 · L20 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 21.5 · L20Keyonte GeorgeG
Lauri MarkkanenF
Jaren Jackson Jr.FOut
Jusuf NurkicCOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Jazz count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs NO
Pts+Reb+Ast: 15 in 22 min, Oct 23 (home)
Over 21.5 hit in 2 of 3 games against NO on record
L20 · Without Jackson · Over 21.5
- Average
- 25.9
- +4.4 vs line
- Median
- 23
- +1.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 56%
- 9 of 16
- Price implies
- 51%
- at −105
- Books’ fair
- 48%
- margin removed
- Minutes
- 31.9
- 16 games · 27.6 in 2025–26
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 21.5 48%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L20 · Without Jackson| Line | Over | Under | L20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2101 book | +1551 book | 13/16 | |
| −1653 books | +1251 book | 12/16 | |
| −1301 book | +1001 book | 11/16 | |
| −1053 books | −1262 books | 9/16 | |
| +1151 book | −1501 book | 9/16 | |
| +1702 books | — | 7/16 | |
| +4102 books | — | 4/16 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 21.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 21.5 | Under 21.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings24 hr ago | −104Best | −126 |
| Bovada24 hr ago | −105 | −125Best |
| Bally Bet24 hr ago | −108 | — |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:11 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
21.5−113 → −105 since first seen
This page last updated 8:13 PM ET.


