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Ace Bailey

Utah Jazz · G · #19

UTAH @ NO · Live
OverUnder2.5
Over 2.5 Assists, typical price +1654 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 2.5

31%5 of 16L20 · Without Jackson

Over 2.5 Assists cleared in 5 of 16 games without Jaren Jackson Jr. (his last 20 games).

  1. at MIN, 2026-03-18: 2, missed, 25 min
  2. vs MIL, 2026-03-19: 4, cleared, 34 min
  3. vs PHI, 2026-03-21: 4, cleared, 33 min
  4. vs TOR, 2026-03-23: 3, cleared, 35 min
  5. vs WSH, 2026-03-25: 3, cleared, 29 min
  6. at DEN, 2026-03-27: 1, missed, 27 min
  7. at PHX, 2026-03-28: 2, missed, 34 min
  8. vs CLE, 2026-03-30: 5, cleared, 35 min
  9. vs DEN, 2026-04-01: 2, missed, 33 min
  10. at HOU, 2026-04-03: 1, missed, 33 min
  11. at OKC, 2026-04-05: 2, missed, 33 min
  12. vs MEM, 2026-04-10: 2, missed, 29 min
  13. at LAL, 2026-04-12: 1, missed, 29 min
  14. at MEM, 2026-10-21: 3, cleared, 24 min (not counted)
  15. vs NO, 2026-10-23: 2, missed, 22 min (not counted)
  16. vs LAL, 2026-10-25: 4, cleared, 29 min (not counted)
  17. vs MEM, 2026-10-26: 3, cleared, 34 min (not counted)
  18. vs SA, 2026-10-28: 0, missed, 40 min
  19. vs POR, 2026-10-31: 1, missed, 37 min
  20. at SA, 2026-11-02: 2, missed, 24 min
ClearedMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different yesterday

Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • YesterdayTeammate out

    Jaren Jackson Jr.: Out (knee)

    Over 2.5 without him: 9 of 27; with him: 5 of 7 (34 games as teammates)

  • Teammate out

    Jusuf Nurkic: Out (foot)

    Over 2.5 without him: 15 of 41; with him: 12 of 38 (79 games as teammates)

  • Defense vs guards

    NO allow 16.9 assists a game to guards: 6th most of 30

    7 games

  • Minutes

    Last 5: 32.8 min · 2025–26: 27.6 (72 games)

Splits

Over 2.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 2.5 · L20

  • Keyonte GeorgeG

  • Lauri MarkkanenF

  • Jaren Jackson Jr.FOut

  • Jusuf NurkicCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Jazz count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs NO

Assists: 2 in 22 min, Oct 23 (home)

Over 2.5 hit in 0 of 3 games against NO on record

L20 · Without Jackson · Over 2.5

Average
2.2
−0.3 vs line
Median
2
−0.5 vs line
Hit rate
31%
5 of 16
Price implies
38%
at +165
Books’ fair
35%
margin removed
Minutes
31.9
16 games · 27.6 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 2.5 35%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Jackson
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL20
−12002 books—15/16
−1753 books+1332 books11/16
+1654 books−2201 book5/16
+4142 books—3/16
+9504 books—1/16
+21001 book—0/16
+30001 book—0/16
Compare 4 sportsbooks at 2.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 2.5Under 2.5
FanDuel13 hr ago+182Best—
Bally Bet13 hr ago+175—
Bovada13 hr ago+165−220Best
DraftKings13 hr ago+162—

Prices as of 8:11 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

1.5 → 2.5 since first seen

Ace Bailey's full game log and splits

This page last updated 8:13 PM ET.