Ace Bailey
UTAH @ SA · Mon, Nov 2 8:30 PM
Game log against Over 1.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 1.5 Assists cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 1–4 assists.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Over 1.5
- Average
- 1.9
- +0.4 vs line
- Median
- 2
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 60%
- at −150
- Books’ fair
- 56%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 62%
- estimate · fair −163
Research, not a pick. At −148 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −163, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −8472 books | — | 9/10 | |
| −1506 books | +1124 books | 6/10 | |
| +1946 books | −2601 book | 3/10 | |
| +4805 books | — | 1/10 | |
| +10662 books | — | 0/10 | |
| +23001 book | — | 0/10 | |
| +35001 book | — | 0/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet21 hr ago | −148Best | — |
| betPARX21 hr ago | −148Best | +110 |
| BetRivers21 hr ago | −150 | +110 |
| Bovada21 hr ago | −150 | +115Best |
| DraftKings21 hr ago | −150 | +114 |
| FanDuel21 hr ago | −162 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:37 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
1.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace+3%
This page last updated 8:37 PM ET.