Ace Bailey
UTAH @ NO · LiveGame log against Over 1.5
50%8 of 16L20 · Without Jackson
Over 1.5 3-Pointers Made cleared in 8 of 16 games without Jaren Jackson Jr. (his last 20 games).
What's different yesterday
Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pickYesterdayTeammate out
Jaren Jackson Jr.: Out (knee)
Over 1.5 without him: 16 of 27; with him: 3 of 7 (34 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jusuf Nurkic: Out (foot)
Over 1.5 without him: 24 of 41; with him: 18 of 38 (79 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
NO allow 6.3 threes made a game to guards: 27th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 32.8 min · 2025–26: 27.6 (72 games)
Splits
Over 1.5 · L20 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 1.5 · L20Keyonte GeorgeG
Lauri MarkkanenF
Jaren Jackson Jr.FOut
Jusuf NurkicCOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Jazz count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs NO
3-Pointers Made: 1 in 22 min, Oct 23 (home)
Over 1.5 hit in 2 of 3 games against NO on record
L20 · Without Jackson · Over 1.5
- Average
- 2.6
- +1.1 vs line
- Median
- 1.5
- ±0 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 8 of 16
- Price implies
- 60%
- at −149
- Books’ fair
- 56%
- margin removed
- Minutes
- 31.9
- 16 games · 27.6 in 2025–26
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 56%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L20 · Without Jackson| Line | Over | Under | L20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −11002 books | — | 16/16 | |
| −1494 books | +1133 books | 8/16 | |
| +1933 books | −2601 book | 6/16 | |
| +4803 books | — | 4/16 | |
| +11002 books | — | 3/16 | |
| +23002 books | — | 2/16 | |
| +35001 book | — | 2/16 |
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet4 hr ago | −141Best | — |
| Pinnacle4 hr ago | −146 | +110 |
| DraftKings4 hr ago | −149 | +113 |
| Bovada4 hr ago | −150 | +115Best |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:11 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
1.5Over: −144 → −149 since first seen
This page last updated 8:13 PM ET.


