Aaron Nesmith

Indiana Pacers · G · #23

IND @ MEM · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under12.5

Over 12.5 Points, typical price −1103 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 12.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Tyrese Haliburton: Out (hamstring)
Over 12.5 without him: 24 of 48; with him: 9 of 21 (69 games as teammates)
TodayMinutes
Last 5: 23.6 min · 2025–26: 29.6 (45 games) · down 20%
Teammate out
Obi Toppin: Out (back)
Over 12.5 without him: 15 of 33; with him: 18 of 36 (69 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Ivica Zubac: Out (ankle)
Over 12.5 without him: 5 of 8; with him: 4 of 6 (14 games as teammates)

47%8 of 17L20 · Without Haliburton

Over 12.5 Points cleared in 8 of 17 games without Tyrese Haliburton (his last 20 games).

at NY, 2026-02-10: 11, missed, 37 min
at WSH, 2026-02-19: 3, missed, 15 min
at LAC, 2026-03-04: 2, missed, 20 min
at LAL, 2026-03-06: 7, missed, 23 min
at POR, 2026-03-08: 9, missed, 25 min
at SAC, 2026-03-10: 29, cleared, 35 min
vs NY, 2026-03-13: 12, missed, 34 min
at MIL, 2026-03-15: 32, cleared, 29 min
at NY, 2026-03-17: 14, cleared, 24 min
vs POR, 2026-03-18: 15, cleared, 26 min
at SA, 2026-03-21: 5, missed, 25 min
at ORL, 2026-03-23: 19, cleared, 35 min
vs LAL, 2026-03-25: 14, cleared, 32 min
vs LAC, 2026-03-27: 26, cleared, 35 min
vs DAL, 2026-10-23: 9, missed, 20 min (not counted)
at BKN, 2026-10-25: 13, cleared, 19 min (not counted)
at MIL, 2026-10-26: 13, cleared, 21 min (not counted)
vs PHI, 2026-10-28: 18, cleared, 27 min
at MIA, 2026-10-30: 9, missed, 21 min
vs BKN, 2026-11-01: 11, missed, 30 min

ClearedMissedThe 12.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 12.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against MEM in his last 20; Over 12.5 cleared in 4 of 4 against MEM on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 12.5 · L20

Pascal SiakamF
Tyrese HaliburtonGOut
Andrew NembhardG
Obi ToppinFOut
Ivica ZubacCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Pacers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MEM

Nesmith didn't play the Mar 1 meeting; points the last time Nesmith faced them: 15 (Oct 25, 2025)

Over 12.5 hit in 4 of 4 games against MEM on record

L20 · Without Haliburton · Over 12.5

Average: 13.9; +1.4 vs line
Median: 12; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 47%; 8 of 17
Price implies: 52%; at −110
Books’ fair: 49%; margin removed
Minutes: 27.8; 17 games · 29.6 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 12.5 49%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Haliburton

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−2603 books	+2051 book	11/17
−2001 book	+1501 book	11/17
−1452 books	+1101 book	9/17
−1103 books	−1193 books	8/17
+1201 book	−1601 book	8/17
+1503 books	−2101 book	6/17
+2001 book	−2751 book	5/17

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 12.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 12.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 12.5	Under 12.5
DraftKings3 min ago	−107Best	−119
Bovada3 min ago	−110	−120
FanDuel3 min ago	−114	−114Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 5:05 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

12.5

−114 → −110 since first seen

Aaron Nesmith's full game log and splits