Aaron Nesmith

Indiana Pacers · G · #23

IND @ MEM · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Steals, typical price +1023 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

41%7 of 17L20 · Without Haliburton

Over 0.5 Steals cleared in 7 of 17 games without Tyrese Haliburton (his last 20 games).

at NY, 2026-02-10: 0, missed, 37 min
at WSH, 2026-02-19: 0, missed, 15 min
at LAC, 2026-03-04: 0, missed, 20 min
at LAL, 2026-03-06: 0, missed, 23 min
at POR, 2026-03-08: 1, cleared, 25 min
at SAC, 2026-03-10: 0, missed, 35 min
vs NY, 2026-03-13: 1, cleared, 34 min
at MIL, 2026-03-15: 0, missed, 29 min
at NY, 2026-03-17: 0, missed, 24 min
vs POR, 2026-03-18: 1, cleared, 26 min
at SA, 2026-03-21: 0, missed, 25 min
at ORL, 2026-03-23: 0, missed, 35 min
vs LAL, 2026-03-25: 1, cleared, 32 min
vs LAC, 2026-03-27: 1, cleared, 35 min
vs DAL, 2026-10-23: 0, missed, 20 min (not counted)
at BKN, 2026-10-25: 0, missed, 19 min (not counted)
at MIL, 2026-10-26: 1, cleared, 21 min (not counted)
vs PHI, 2026-10-28: 2, cleared, 27 min
at MIA, 2026-10-30: 0, missed, 21 min
vs BKN, 2026-11-01: 1, cleared, 30 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different today

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Tyrese Haliburton: Out (hamstring)
Over 0.5 without him: 22 of 48; with him: 13 of 20 (68 games as teammates)
TodayMinutes
Last 5: 23.6 min · 2025–26: 29.6 (45 games) · down 20%
Teammate out
Obi Toppin: Out (back)
Over 0.5 without him: 17 of 33; with him: 18 of 35 (68 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Ivica Zubac: Out (ankle)
Over 0.5 without him: 5 of 8; with him: 2 of 6 (14 games as teammates)

Splits

Over 0.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against MEM in his last 20; Over 0.5 cleared in 2 of 4 against MEM on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L20

Pascal SiakamF
Tyrese HaliburtonGOut
Andrew NembhardG
Obi ToppinFOut
Ivica ZubacCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Pacers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MEM

Nesmith didn't play the Mar 1 meeting; steals the last time Nesmith faced them: 0 (Oct 25, 2025)

Over 0.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against MEM on record

L20 · Without Haliburton · Over 0.5

Average: 0.5; −0 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 41%; 7 of 17
Price implies: 50%; at +102
Books’ fair: 46%; margin removed
Minutes: 27.8; 17 games · 29.6 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 0.5 46%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Haliburton

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L20
	+1023 books	−1371 book	7/17
	+4803 books	—	1/17

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Steals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Bally Bet2 min ago	+102Best	—
betPARX1 min ago	+102Best	−137Best
BetRivers1 min ago	+102Best	—
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:36 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: −104 → +102 since first seen

Aaron Nesmith's full game log and splits