Aaron Gordon

Denver Nuggets · F · #32

TOR @ DEN · Live

Over Under21.5

Over 21.5 Pts+Reb+Ast, typical price −1212 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

40%4 of 10L10

Over 21.5 Pts+Reb+Ast cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (1 of 6 at home).

vs MEM, 2026-04-08: 14, missed, 22 min
vs MIN, 2026-04-18: 28, cleared, 29 min
vs MIN, 2026-04-20: 19, missed, 37 min
at MIN, 2026-04-25: 10, missed, 23 min
at OKC, 2026-10-22: 27, cleared, 29 min
vs NO, 2026-10-24: 16, missed, 37 min
vs GS, 2026-10-26: 13, missed, 25 min
at NO, 2026-10-28: 29, cleared, 31 min
at PHX, 2026-10-30: 24, cleared, 29 min
vs POR, 2026-11-02: 13, missed, 30 min

ClearedMissedThe 21.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different yesterday

Over 21.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

YesterdayTeammate out
DeMar DeRozan: Out (back)
Over 21.5 without him: no games; with him: 3 of 6 (6 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Spencer Jones: Out (hamstring)
Over 21.5 without him: 9 of 16; with him: 19 of 29 (45 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
TOR allow 59.4 points + rebounds + assists a game to forwards: 27th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 30.4 min · 2025–26: 28 (39 games)

Splits

Over 21.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against TOR in his last 10; Over 21.5 cleared in 3 of 5 against TOR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 21.5 · L10

Nikola JokicC
Jamal MurrayG
DeMar DeRozanGOut
Spencer JonesFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Nuggets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs TOR

Pts+Reb+Ast: 24 in 29 min, Mar 20 (home)

Over 21.5 hit in 3 of 5 games against TOR on record

L10 · Over 21.5

Average: 19.3; −2.2 vs line
Median: 17.5; −4 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 4 of 10
Price implies: 55%; at −121
Books’ fair: 51%; margin removed
Minutes: 29.2; 10 games · 28 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 21.5 51%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−9502 books	—	6/10
−1953 books	+1401 book	4/10
−1501 book	+1151 book	4/10
−1212 books	−1102 books	4/10
+1003 books	−1352 books	4/10
+1251 book	−1651 book	4/10
+1433 books	—	3/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 21.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 21.5 Pts+Reb+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 21.5	Under 21.5
Bovada12 hr ago	−120Best	−110
DraftKings12 hr ago	−121	−108Best
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

21.5

22.5 → 21.5 since first seen

Aaron Gordon's full game log and splits

This page last updated 9:12 PM ET.