Aaron Gordon

Denver Nuggets · F · #32

TOR @ DEN · Today 9:00 PM

Over Under16.5

Over 16.5 Pts+Ast, typical price −1186 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

40%4 of 10L10

Over 16.5 Pts+Ast cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (1 of 6 at home).

vs MEM, 2026-04-08: 12, missed, 22 min
vs MIN, 2026-04-18: 20, cleared, 29 min
vs MIN, 2026-04-20: 12, missed, 37 min
at MIN, 2026-04-25: 9, missed, 23 min
at OKC, 2026-10-22: 21, cleared, 29 min
vs NO, 2026-10-24: 11, missed, 37 min
vs GS, 2026-10-26: 9, missed, 25 min
at NO, 2026-10-28: 18, cleared, 31 min
at PHX, 2026-10-30: 20, cleared, 29 min
vs POR, 2026-11-02: 7, missed, 30 min

ClearedMissedThe 16.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different today

Over 16.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Spencer Jones: Out (hamstring)
Over 16.5 without him: 9 of 16; with him: 19 of 29 (45 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 30.4 min · 2025–26: 28 (39 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs POR
Game lines
DEN −4.5 · total 230.5 (8 sportsbooks)
DEN's games this season closed at 236.2 on average (6 games)

Splits

Over 16.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against TOR in his last 10; Over 16.5 cleared in 3 of 5 against TOR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 16.5 · L10

Nikola JokicC
Jamal MurrayG
DeMar DeRozanG
Spencer JonesFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Nuggets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs TOR

Pts+Ast: 19 in 29 min, Mar 20 (home)

Over 16.5 hit in 3 of 5 games against TOR on record

L10 · Over 16.5

Average: 13.9; −2.6 vs line
Median: 12; −4.5 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 4 of 10
Price implies: 54%; at −118
Books’ fair: 51%; margin removed
Minutes: 29.2; 10 games · 28 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 16.5 51%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−9301 book	—	7/10
−1904 books	—	4/10
−1501 book	+1151 book	4/10
−1186 books	−1154 books	4/10
+1101 book	−1451 book	4/10
+1654 books	—	3/10
+5231 book	—	0/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 16.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 16.5 Pts+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 16.5	Under 16.5
DraftKings17 min ago	−114Best	−115
Bovada16 min ago	−115	−115
Bally Bet16 min ago	−118	—
betPARX4 min ago	−118	−115
BetRivers2 min ago	−118	—
FanDuel3 min ago	−125	−106Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 10:32 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

16.5

Over: −130 → −118 since first seen

Aaron Gordon's full game log and splits