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Aaron Gordon

Denver Nuggets · F · #32

TOR @ DEN · Tomorrow 9:00 PM
OverUnder19.5
Over 19.5 Pts+Reb, typical price −1141 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 19.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • Teammate out

    Spencer Jones: Out (hamstring)

    Over 19.5 without him: 8 of 16; with him: 17 of 29 (45 games as teammates)

  • Minutes

    Last 5: 30.4 min · 2025–26: 28 (39 games)

  • Rest

    1 day off since Nov 2 vs POR

  • Game lines

    DEN −4.5 · total 231.5 (6 sportsbooks)

    DEN's games this season closed at 236.2 on average (6 games)

Game log against Over 19.5

30%3 of 10L10

Over 19.5 Pts+Reb cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (1 of 6 at home).

  1. vs MEM, 2026-04-08: 8, missed, 22 min
  2. vs MIN, 2026-04-18: 25, cleared, 29 min
  3. vs MIN, 2026-04-20: 15, missed, 37 min
  4. at MIN, 2026-04-25: 10, missed, 23 min
  5. at OKC, 2026-10-22: 26, cleared, 29 min
  6. vs NO, 2026-10-24: 12, missed, 37 min
  7. vs GS, 2026-10-26: 11, missed, 25 min
  8. at NO, 2026-10-28: 26, cleared, 31 min
  9. at PHX, 2026-10-30: 19, missed, 29 min
  10. vs POR, 2026-11-02: 11, missed, 30 min
ClearedMissedThe 19.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 19.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against TOR in his last 10; Over 19.5 cleared in 3 of 5 against TOR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 19.5 · L10
  • Nikola JokicC

  • Jamal MurrayG

  • DeMar DeRozanG

  • Spencer JonesFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Nuggets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs TOR

Pts+Reb: 21 in 29 min, Mar 20 (home)

Over 19.5 hit in 3 of 5 games against TOR on record

L10 · Over 19.5

Average
16.3
−3.2 vs line
Median
13.5
−6 vs line
Hit rate
30%
3 of 10
Price implies
53%
at −114
Books’ fair
50%
margin removed
Minutes
29.2
10 games · 28 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 19.5 50%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−1141 book−1141 book3/10
Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 19.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 19.5 Pts+Reb, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 19.5Under 19.5
FanDuel3 min ago−114Best−114Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 11:18 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

19.5

Over −118 → −114 since first seen

Aaron Gordon's full game log and splits