Aaron Gordon
TOR @ DEN · Today 9:00 PMGame log against Over 1.5
30%3 of 10L10
Over 1.5 Steals+Blocks cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (2 of 6 at home).
What's different today
Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Spencer Jones: Out (hamstring)
Over 1.5 without him: 4 of 16; with him: 6 of 29 (45 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 30.4 min · 2025–26: 28 (39 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs POR
Game lines
DEN −4.5 · total 231.5 (8 sportsbooks)
DEN's games this season closed at 236.2 on average (6 games)
Splits
Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against TOR in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 1 of 5 against TOR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 1.5 · L10Nikola JokicC
Jamal MurrayG
DeMar DeRozanG
Spencer JonesFOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Nuggets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs TOR
Steals+Blocks: 1 in 29 min, Mar 20 (home)
Over 1.5 hit in 1 of 5 games against TOR on record
L10 · Over 1.5
- Average
- 1.1
- −0.4 vs line
- Median
- 1
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 30%
- 3 of 10
- Price implies
- 38%
- at +160
- Books’ fair
- 36%
- margin removed
- Minutes
- 29.2
- 10 games · 28 in 2025–26
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 36%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2783 books | — | 7/10 | |
| +1603 books | −2251 book | 3/10 | |
| +4753 books | — | 1/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet3 min ago | +160Best | — |
| betPARX2 min ago | +160Best | −225Best |
| BetRivers3 min ago | +160Best | — |
Prices as of 7:45 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
1.5Over: No move since first seen


