Afonso Moreira

Bayer Leverkusen · F · #9

B04 v OLM · Today 3:00 PM

Over only2.5

Over 2.5 Shots, typical price −1095 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%5 of 10L10

Over 2.5 Shots cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).

vs FCU (Bundesliga), 2026-09-05: 3, cleared
at FCA (Bundesliga), 2026-09-12: 2, missed
vs NKC (Europa League), 2026-09-16: 1, missed
vs RBL (Bundesliga), 2026-09-20: 3, cleared
at M05 (Bundesliga), 2026-10-10: 0, missed
at LECH (Europa League), 2026-10-15: 3, cleared
vs SCF (Bundesliga), 2026-10-18: 2, missed
at OFI (Europa League), 2026-10-22: 4, cleared
at TSG (Bundesliga), 2026-10-25: 0, missed
vs VFB (Bundesliga), 2026-10-31: 6, cleared

ClearedMissedThe 2.5 lineBL Bundesliga · unmarked: Europa League

L10 · Over 2.5

Average: 2.4; −0.1 vs line
Median: 2.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 52%; at −109
Books’ fair: —; no Under posted

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
Line	Over	L10
	−30001 book	8/10
	−3055 books	7/10
	−1095 books	5/10
	+2005 books	2/10
	+1852 books	1/10
	+4002 books	1/10
	+8501 book	0/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“3+ shots”), with no Under to take.

Compare 5 sportsbooks at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over 2.5 Shots, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5
Bally Bet8 min ago	−109Best
betPARX8 min ago	−109Best
BetRivers8 min ago	−109Best
FanDuel8 min ago	−175
DraftKings8 min ago	−290

Prices as of 7:15 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

3.5 → 2.5 since first seen

Afonso Moreira's full game log and splits