Afonso Moreira

Bayer Leverkusen · F · #9

B04 v OLM · Tomorrow 3:00 PM

Over only0.5

Over 0.5 Shots on Target, typical price −1954 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Shots on Target cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 at home).

vs FCU (Bundesliga), 2026-09-05: 2, cleared
at FCA (Bundesliga), 2026-09-12: 1, cleared
vs NKC (Europa League), 2026-09-16: 1, cleared
vs RBL (Bundesliga), 2026-09-20: 0, missed
at M05 (Bundesliga), 2026-10-10: 0, missed
at LECH (Europa League), 2026-10-15: 3, cleared
vs SCF (Bundesliga), 2026-10-18: 1, cleared
at OFI (Europa League), 2026-10-22: 1, cleared
at TSG (Bundesliga), 2026-10-25: 0, missed
vs VFB (Bundesliga), 2026-10-31: 3, cleared

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 lineBL Bundesliga · unmarked: Europa League

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 1.2; +0.7 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 66%; at −195
Books’ fair: —; no Under posted

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
Line	Over	L10
	−1954 books	7/10
	+2104 books	3/10
	+5001 book	2/10
	+17001 book	0/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“1+ shots on target”), with no Under to take.

Compare 4 sportsbooks at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over 0.5 Shots on Target, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5
Bally Bet9 min ago	−195Best
betPARX9 min ago	−195Best
BetRivers9 min ago	−195Best
DraftKings9 min ago	−290

Prices as of 10:37 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

1.5 → 0.5 since first seen

Afonso Moreira's full game log and splits