Trevor Zegras
PHI @ NYR · Today 7:00 PM
Game log against Under 0.5
50%5 of 10L10
Under 0.5 Assists hit in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 3 on the road).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 assists.
What's different today
Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Rasmus Ristolainen: Injured Reserve (hand)
Under 0.5 without him: 12 of 19; with him: 34 of 58 (77 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Dylan Garand (Confirmed)
Saves: 225 of 251 (.896) over his last 10 games · 9 of NYR's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
NYR allow 3.25 assists a game to forwards: 24th most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 4.00, 9th most
Time on ice
Last 5: 19.7 min · 2026–27: 18.7 (17 games)
Power play: 4.2 min last 5 · 3.4 2026–27
Splits
Under 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against NYR in his last 10; Under 0.5 hit in 3 of 6 against NYR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 0.5 · L10Matvei MichkovRW
Oliver BonkD
Travis KonecnyRW
Rasmus RistolainenDInjured Reserve
The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Flyers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs NYR
Assists: 1 in 19.5 min, Mar 9 (home)
Under 0.5 hit in 3 of 6 games against NYR on record
L10 · Under 0.5
- Average
- 0.8
- +0.3 vs line
- Median
- 0.5
- ±0 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 67%
- at −202
- Books’ fair
- 61%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 58%
- estimate · fair −135
Research, not a pick. At −170 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −135, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| +1487 books | −2022 books | 5/10 | |
| +8003 books | — | 8/10 | |
| +25001 book | — | 9/10 |
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings7 min ago | +125 | −170Best |
| Pinnacle7 min ago | +149Best | −202 |
| Bally Bet7 min ago | +148 | — |
| betPARX5 min ago | +148 | — |
| BetRivers5 min ago | +148 | — |
| Bovada7 min ago | +134 | — |
| FanDuel5 min ago | +140 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 4:46 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.