Tim Stutzle

Ottawa Senators · C · #18

OTT @ BUF · Today 7:30 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Assists, typical price −1153 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayOpposing goalie
Colten Ellis (Expected)
Saves: 232 of 258 (.899) over his last 10 games · 3 of BUF's last 10 starts · Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen started 7
Teammate out
William Eklund: Injured Reserve (ankle)
Over 0.5 without him: 7 of 12; with him: 3 of 4 (16 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Warren Foegele: Injured Reserve (knee)
Over 0.5 without him: 2 of 3; with him: 18 of 36 (39 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
BUF allow 4.00 assists a game to forwards: 11th most of 32
14 games · last 10 games: 3.70, 16th most

50%5 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Assists cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).

vs STL, 2026-10-13: 1, cleared, 22.1 min
vs NYI, 2026-10-15: 0, missed, 23.8 min
at PHI, 2026-10-17: 1, cleared, 23.1 min
vs FLA, 2026-10-21: 1, cleared, 19.7 min
vs SJ, 2026-10-22: 0, missed, 22.9 min
vs NYR, 2026-10-24: 0, missed, 20.6 min
at VGK, 2026-10-27: 0, missed, 22.8 min
at LA, 2026-10-29: 3, cleared, 22.4 min
at SJ, 2026-10-31: 1, cleared, 20.2 min
at ANA, 2026-11-01: 0, missed, 22.9 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against BUF in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 1 of 8 against BUF on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Drake BathersonRW
Jake SandersonD
Shane PintoC
William EklundLWInjured Reserve
Warren FoegeleLWInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Senators count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs BUF

Assists: 0 in 20 min, Apr 2 (home)

Over 0.5 hit in 1 of 8 games against BUF on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.7; +0.2 vs line
Median: 0.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −115
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Time on ice: 22.1; 10 games · 20.5 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 0.5 50%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−1153 books	−1152 books	5/10
+4202 books	—	1/10
+14001 book	—	1/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
FanDuel4 min ago	−115Best	—
Pinnacle5 min ago	−115Best	−115Best
DraftKings5 min ago	−120	−115Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 4:35 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

−125 → −115 since first seen

Tim Stutzle's full game log and splits