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Tim Stutzle

Ottawa Senators · C · #18

OTT @ BUF · Today 7:30 PM
OverUnder0.5
Over 0.5 Assists, typical price −1152 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • TodayOpposing goalie

    Colten Ellis (Expected)

    Saves: 232 of 258 (.899) over his last 10 games · 3 of BUF's last 10 starts · Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen started 7

  • Teammate out

    William Eklund: Injured Reserve (ankle)

    Over 0.5 without him: 7 of 12; with him: 3 of 4 (16 games as teammates)

  • Teammate out

    Warren Foegele: Injured Reserve (knee)

    Over 0.5 without him: 2 of 3; with him: 18 of 36 (39 games as teammates)

  • Defense vs forwards

    BUF allow 4.00 assists a game to forwards: 11th most of 32

    14 games · last 10 games: 3.70, 16th most

Game log against Over 0.5

50%5 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Assists cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).

  1. vs STL, 2026-10-13: 1, cleared, 22.1 min
  2. vs NYI, 2026-10-15: 0, missed, 23.8 min
  3. at PHI, 2026-10-17: 1, cleared, 23.1 min
  4. vs FLA, 2026-10-21: 1, cleared, 19.7 min
  5. vs SJ, 2026-10-22: 0, missed, 22.9 min
  6. vs NYR, 2026-10-24: 0, missed, 20.6 min
  7. at VGK, 2026-10-27: 0, missed, 22.8 min
  8. at LA, 2026-10-29: 3, cleared, 22.4 min
  9. at SJ, 2026-10-31: 1, cleared, 20.2 min
  10. at ANA, 2026-11-01: 0, missed, 22.9 min
ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against BUF in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 1 of 8 against BUF on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

  • Drake BathersonRW

  • Jake SandersonD

  • Shane PintoC

  • William EklundLWInjured Reserve

  • Warren FoegeleLWInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Senators count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs BUF

Assists: 0 in 20 min, Apr 2 (home)

Over 0.5 hit in 1 of 8 games against BUF on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average
0.7
+0.2 vs line
Median
0.5
±0 vs line
Hit rate
50%
5 of 10
Price implies
53%
at −115
Books’ fair
50%
margin removed
Time on ice
22.1
10 games · 20.5 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 0.5 50%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−1152 books−1151 book5/10
+4201 book—1/10
+14001 book—1/10
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 0.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 0.5Under 0.5
FanDuel2 min ago−115Best—
Pinnacle7 min ago−115Best−115Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 3:09 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

−125 → −115 since first seen

Tim Stutzle's full game log and splits