Steven Stamkos

Nashville Predators · C · #91

CAR @ NSH · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Points, typical price −1377 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightDefense vs forwards
CAR allow 4.81 points a game to forwards: 30th most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 4.10, the fewest
Opposing goalie
Pyotr Kochetkov (Expected)
Saves: 196 of 211 (.929) over his last 10 games · 8 of CAR's last 10 starts
Time on ice
Last 5: 18.8 min · 2026–27: 18.8 (14 games)
Power play: 4.1 min last 5 · 3.9 2026–27
Rest
2 days off since Oct 31 vs TB

70%7 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Points cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (5 of 7 at home).

at OTT, 2026-10-10: 1, cleared, 19 min
vs VGK, 2026-10-13: 0, missed, 18.9 min
vs SJ, 2026-10-15: 1, cleared, 20.6 min
vs STL, 2026-10-17: 2, cleared, 17.6 min
at BOS, 2026-10-22: 0, missed, 14.1 min
at PIT, 2026-10-24: 1, cleared, 19 min
vs COL, 2026-10-25: 3, cleared, 17.8 min
vs NYI, 2026-10-27: 1, cleared, 20.3 min
vs WSH, 2026-10-29: 0, missed, 20.4 min
vs TB, 2026-10-31: 1, cleared, 16.3 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–2 points.

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against CAR in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 2 of 4 against CAR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Roman JosiD
Filip ForsbergLW
Ryan O'ReillyC

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Predators count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CAR

Points: 1 in 19 min, Dec 17, 2025 (home)

Over 0.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against CAR on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 1; +0.5 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 58%; at −137
Books’ fair: 57%; margin removed
Our chance: 62%; estimate · fair −166

Research, not a pick. At −137 (the best of 7 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −166, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−1377 books	+1152 books	7/10
+3406 books	—	2/10
+10802 books	—	1/10

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Bally Bet4 min ago	−137Best	—
betPARX3 min ago	−137Best	—
BetRivers3 min ago	−137Best	—
Bovada4 min ago	−137Best	—
Pinnacle4 min ago	−153	+115Best
DraftKings11 min ago	−155	+115Best
FanDuel3 min ago	−156	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 3:46 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over −174 → −137 since first seen

Steven Stamkos's full game log and splits