Steven Stamkos

Nashville Predators · C · #91

CAR @ NSH · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Assists, typical price −1946 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Opposing goalie
Pyotr Kochetkov (Expected)
Saves: 196 of 211 (.929) over his last 10 games · 8 of CAR's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
CAR allow 2.94 assists a game to forwards: 27th most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 2.40, the fewest
Time on ice
Last 5: 18.8 min · 2026–27: 18.8 (14 games)
Power play: 4.1 min last 5 · 3.9 2026–27
Rest
2 days off since Oct 31 vs TB

60%6 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Assists hit in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 7 at home).

at OTT, 2026-10-10: 1, missed, 19 min
vs VGK, 2026-10-13: 0, hit, 18.9 min
vs SJ, 2026-10-15: 0, hit, 20.6 min
vs STL, 2026-10-17: 2, missed, 17.6 min
at BOS, 2026-10-22: 0, hit, 14.1 min
at PIT, 2026-10-24: 0, hit, 19 min
vs COL, 2026-10-25: 1, missed, 17.8 min
vs NYI, 2026-10-27: 1, missed, 20.3 min
vs WSH, 2026-10-29: 0, hit, 20.4 min
vs TB, 2026-10-31: 0, hit, 16.3 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 lineTime on ice

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–1 assists.

Count only

Under 0.5 · L10

With or without

Under 0.5 · L10

Roman JosiD
Filip ForsbergLW
Ryan O'ReillyC

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Predators count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CAR

Assists: 1 in 19 min, Dec 17, 2025 (home)

Under 0.5 hit in 3 of 4 games against CAR on record

L10 · Under 0.5

Average: 0.5; ±0 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 66%; at −194
Books’ fair: 62%; margin removed
Our chance: 61%; estimate · fair −155

Research, not a pick. At −188 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −155, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
+1526 books	−1942 books	6/10
+8612 books	—	9/10
+25001 book	—	10/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Pinnacle4 min ago	+140	−188Best
DraftKings11 min ago	+150	−200
Bally Bet4 min ago	+155Best	—
betPARX4 min ago	+155Best	—
BetRivers5 min ago	+155Best	—
Bovada4 min ago	+140	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 12:25 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.

Steven Stamkos's full game log and splits