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Steven Stamkos
CAR @ NSH · Today 8:00 PM
Game log against Over 0.5
70%7 of 10L10
Over 0.5 Points cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (5 of 7 at home).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–2 points.
Count only
Over 0.5 · L10Matchup · 16 games
CAR allow 4.81 points a game to forwards: 30th most of 32
Rest
2 days off since Oct 31 vs TB
Last vs CAR
Points: 1 in 19 min, Dec 17, 2025 (home)
Over 0.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against CAR on record
L10 · Over 0.5
- Average
- 1
- +0.5 vs line
- Median
- 1
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 63%
- at −170
- Books’ fair
- 57%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 63%
- estimate · fair −168
Research, not a pick. At −160 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −168, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −1702 books | +1151 book | 7/10 | |
| +2902 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +9912 books | — | 1/10 |
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings3 min ago | −160Best | +115Best |
| FanDuel3 min ago | −180 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 4:12 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5Over −174 → −170 since first seen