Rasmus Dahlin

Buffalo Sabres · D · #26

OTT @ BUF · Today 7:30 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Goals, typical price +3006 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Konsta Helenius: Out (upper body)
Over 0.5 without him: 10 of 37; with him: 7 of 21 (58 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Conor Timmins: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Over 0.5 without him: 13 of 53; with him: 9 of 48 (101 games as teammates)
Back from an absence
Today's game is his 6th back after missing 3 games in a row (Oct 13 – Oct 17)
Over 0.5 since: 0 of 5
Opposing goalie
Samuel Ersson (Expected)
Saves: 177 of 204 (.868) over his last 10 games · 4 of OTT's last 10 starts

20%2 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Goals cleared in 2 of his last 10 games (2 of 6 at home).

vs CHI, 2026-10-03: 1, cleared, 25.4 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-06: 0, missed, 29.3 min
vs DAL, 2026-10-08: 0, missed, 26.4 min
vs UTAH, 2026-10-10: 0, missed, 25.7 min
vs FLA, 2026-10-12: 1, cleared, 9.1 min
vs PHI, 2026-10-21: 0, missed, 26.5 min
at WSH, 2026-10-24: 0, missed, 27.3 min
at SJ, 2026-10-27: 0, missed, 26.3 min
at ANA, 2026-10-29: 0, missed, 26 min
at LA, 2026-10-31: 0, missed, 23.4 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against OTT in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 1 of 8 against OTT on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Tage ThompsonC
Zach BensonLW
Jack QuinnRW
Konsta HeleniusCOut
Conor TimminsDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Sabres count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs OTT

Goals: 0 in 22.6 min, Apr 2 (away)

Over 0.5 hit in 1 of 8 games against OTT on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.2; −0.3 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 20%; 2 of 10
Price implies: 25%; at +300
Books’ fair: 22%; margin removed
Time on ice: 24.5; 10 games · 24.2 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 0.5 22%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
+3006 books	−4941 book	2/10
+22005 books	—	0/10
+225001 book	—	0/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Goals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings3 min ago	+320Best	—
FanDuel2 min ago	+320Best	—
Pinnacle3 min ago	+320Best	−494Best
Bally Bet2 min ago	+300	—
betPARX3 min ago	+300	—
BetRivers3 min ago	+300	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 3:19 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: +310 → +300 since first seen

Rasmus Dahlin's full game log and splits