Rasmus Dahlin

Buffalo Sabres · D · #26

OTT @ BUF · Today 7:30 PM

Over Under2.5

Over 2.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1102 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Konsta Helenius: Out (upper body)
Over 2.5 without him: 18 of 37; with him: 14 of 21 (58 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Conor Timmins: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Over 2.5 without him: 26 of 53; with him: 29 of 48 (101 games as teammates)
Back from an absence
Today's game is his 6th back after missing 3 games in a row (Oct 13 – Oct 17)
Over 2.5 since: 3 of 5
Opposing goalie
Samuel Ersson (Expected)
Saves: 177 of 204 (.868) over his last 10 games · 4 of OTT's last 10 starts

70%7 of 10L10

Over 2.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (5 of 6 at home).

vs CHI, 2026-10-03: 3, cleared, 25.4 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-06: 3, cleared, 29.3 min
vs DAL, 2026-10-08: 1, missed, 26.4 min
vs UTAH, 2026-10-10: 4, cleared, 25.7 min
vs FLA, 2026-10-12: 4, cleared, 9.1 min
vs PHI, 2026-10-21: 4, cleared, 26.5 min
at WSH, 2026-10-24: 3, cleared, 27.3 min
at SJ, 2026-10-27: 1, missed, 26.3 min
at ANA, 2026-10-29: 4, cleared, 26 min
at LA, 2026-10-31: 2, missed, 23.4 min

ClearedMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against OTT in his last 10; Over 2.5 cleared in 3 of 8 against OTT on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 2.5 · L10

Tage ThompsonC
Zach BensonLW
Jack QuinnRW
Konsta HeleniusCOut
Conor TimminsDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Sabres count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs OTT

Shots on Goal: 2 in 22.6 min, Apr 2 (away)

Over 2.5 hit in 3 of 8 games against OTT on record

L10 · Over 2.5

Average: 2.9; +0.4 vs line
Median: 3; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 52%; at −110
Books’ fair: 49%; margin removed
Time on ice: 24.5; 10 games · 24.2 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 2.5 49%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−22001 book	—	10/10
−3551 book	—	8/10
−1102 books	−1182 books	7/10
+2301 book	—	4/10
+5001 book	—	0/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
FanDuel2 min ago	−110Best	−118Best
Pinnacle2 min ago	−110Best	−118Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 1:04 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Over −139 → −110 since first seen

Rasmus Dahlin's full game log and splits