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Pontus Holmberg

Tampa Bay Lightning · RW · #29

DET @ TB · Today 7:00 PM
OverUnder1.5
Over 1.5 Shots on Goal, typical price +1001 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • Teammate out

    Yanni Gourde: Injured Reserve (hip)

    Over 1.5 without him: 5 of 13; with him: 27 of 70 (83 games as teammates)

  • Teammate out

    Zemgus Girgensons: Out (lower body)

    Over 1.5 without him: 0 of 2; with him: 29 of 74 (76 games as teammates). A small sample.

  • Opposing goalie

    Daniil Tarasov started DET's last game

    Saves: 216 of 237 (.911) over his last 10 games · 3 of DET's last 10 starts · John Gibson started 6 · no probable starter posted yet

  • Defense vs forwards

    DET allow 17.4 shots on goal a game to forwards: 27th most of 32

    15 games · last 10 games: 17.5, 27th most

Game log against Over 1.5

30%3 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (1 of 4 at home).

  1. vs MIN, 2026-10-08: 1, missed, 14 min
  2. at NYI, 2026-10-10: 0, missed, 17.6 min
  3. at NYR, 2026-10-13: 3, cleared, 13.7 min
  4. vs SEA, 2026-10-15: 1, missed, 14.1 min
  5. vs VAN, 2026-10-17: 3, cleared, 14 min
  6. at VGK, 2026-10-20: 1, missed, 13.7 min
  7. at COL, 2026-10-23: 1, missed, 12 min
  8. at UTAH, 2026-10-24: 3, cleared, 14.2 min
  9. vs WPG, 2026-10-29: 1, missed, 17.9 min
  10. at NSH, 2026-10-31: 1, missed, 14.8 min
ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against DET in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 0 of 8 against DET on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L10

  • Brandon HagelLW

  • Nikita KucherovRW

  • Jake GuentzelC

  • Yanni GourdeCInjured Reserve

  • Zemgus GirgensonsCOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Lightning count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs DET

Holmberg didn't play the Apr 13 meeting; shots on goal the last time Holmberg faced them: 1 (Mar 12)

Over 1.5 hit in 0 of 8 games against DET on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average
1.5
±0 vs line
Median
1
−0.5 vs line
Hit rate
30%
3 of 10
Price implies
50%
at +100
Books’ fair
47%
margin removed
Time on ice
14.6
10 games · 13.4 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 47%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−4501 book—9/10
+1001 book−1351 book3/10
+2951 book—3/10
+8001 book—0/10
+20001 book—0/10
Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 1.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 1.5Under 1.5
DraftKings2 hr ago+100Best−135Best
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 7:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over +110 → +100 since first seen

Pontus Holmberg's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:12 PM ET.