Pontus Holmberg

Tampa Bay Lightning · RW · #29

DET @ TB · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Goals, typical price +4106 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Yanni Gourde: Injured Reserve (hip)
Over 0.5 without him: 4 of 13; with him: 11 of 70 (83 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Zemgus Girgensons: Out (lower body)
Over 0.5 without him: 1 of 2; with him: 13 of 74 (76 games as teammates). A small sample.
Opposing goalie
John Gibson (Expected)
Saves: 191 of 222 (.860) over his last 10 games · 6 of DET's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
DET allow 2.40 goals a game to forwards: 26th most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 2.40, 22nd most

30%3 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Goals cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 at home).

vs MIN, 2026-10-08: 0, missed, 14 min
at NYI, 2026-10-10: 0, missed, 17.6 min
at NYR, 2026-10-13: 0, missed, 13.7 min
vs SEA, 2026-10-15: 0, missed, 14.1 min
vs VAN, 2026-10-17: 1, cleared, 14 min
at VGK, 2026-10-20: 0, missed, 13.7 min
at COL, 2026-10-23: 0, missed, 12 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-24: 1, cleared, 14.2 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-29: 1, cleared, 17.9 min
at NSH, 2026-10-31: 0, missed, 14.8 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 lineTime on ice

Count only

Over 0.5 · L10

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Brandon HagelLW
Nikita KucherovRW
Jake GuentzelC
Yanni GourdeCInjured Reserve
Zemgus GirgensonsCOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Lightning count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs DET

Holmberg didn't play the Apr 13 meeting; goals the last time Holmberg faced them: 0 (Mar 12)

Over 0.5 hit in 0 of 8 games against DET on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.3; −0.2 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 30%; 3 of 10
Price implies: 20%; at +410
Books’ fair: 19%; margin removed
Time on ice: 14.6; 10 games · 13.4 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 0.5 19%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+4106 books	−6501 book	3/10
	+35005 books	—	0/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Goals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Bally Bet3 min ago	+420Best	—
betPARX4 min ago	+420Best	—
BetRivers5 min ago	+420Best	—
DraftKings3 min ago	+400	—
Bovada8 min ago	+385	—
Pinnacle3 min ago	+380	−650Best
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 12:29 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over +390 → +410 since first seen

Pontus Holmberg's full game log and splits