Pontus Holmberg

Tampa Bay Lightning · RW · #29

DET @ TB · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Points, typical price +1385 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Yanni Gourde: Injured Reserve (hip)
Over 0.5 without him: 6 of 13; with him: 19 of 70 (83 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Zemgus Girgensons: Out (lower body)
Over 0.5 without him: 1 of 2; with him: 22 of 74 (76 games as teammates). A small sample.
Opposing goalie
John Gibson (Expected)
Saves: 191 of 222 (.860) over his last 10 games · 6 of DET's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
DET allow 6.53 points a game to forwards: 14th most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 6.60, 15th most

50%5 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Points cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 at home).

vs MIN, 2026-10-08: 0, missed, 14 min
at NYI, 2026-10-10: 0, missed, 17.6 min
at NYR, 2026-10-13: 1, cleared, 13.7 min
vs SEA, 2026-10-15: 1, cleared, 14.1 min
vs VAN, 2026-10-17: 1, cleared, 14 min
at VGK, 2026-10-20: 0, missed, 13.7 min
at COL, 2026-10-23: 0, missed, 12 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-24: 1, cleared, 14.2 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-29: 4, cleared, 17.9 min
at NSH, 2026-10-31: 0, missed, 14.8 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against DET in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 1 of 8 against DET on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Brandon HagelLW
Nikita KucherovRW
Jake GuentzelC
Yanni GourdeCInjured Reserve
Zemgus GirgensonsCOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Lightning count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs DET

Holmberg didn't play the Apr 13 meeting; points the last time Holmberg faced them: 0 (Mar 12)

Over 0.5 hit in 1 of 8 games against DET on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.8; +0.3 vs line
Median: 0.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 42%; at +138
Books’ fair: 38%; margin removed
Time on ice: 14.6; 10 games · 13.4 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 0.5 38%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+1385 books	−2001 book	5/10
	+6504 books	—	1/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings6 min ago	+145Best	−200Best
Bally Bet6 min ago	+138	—
betPARX2 min ago	+138	—
BetRivers2 min ago	+138	—
Bovada6 min ago	+138	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 3:18 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over No move since first seen

Pontus Holmberg's full game log and splits