Nick Schmaltz
UTAH @ TOR · Today 7:00 PM
What's different tonight
Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
John Marino: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Over 2.5 without him: 5 of 8; with him: 41 of 95 (103 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Maveric Lamoureux: Injured Reserve (shoulder)
Over 2.5 without him: 33 of 71; with him: 1 of 5 (76 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Sergei Bobrovsky (Confirmed)
Saves: 255 of 288 (.885) over his last 10 games · 6 of TOR's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
TOR allow 20.4 shots on goal a game to forwards: 16th most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 18.9, 22nd most
Game log against Over 2.5
40%4 of 10L10
Over 2.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).
Splits
Over 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 2.5 · L10Clayton KellerRW
Mikhail SergachevD
Logan CooleyC
John MarinoDInjured Reserve
Maveric LamoureuxDInjured Reserve
The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Mammoth count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs TOR
Shots on Goal: 1 in 16.9 min, Oct 13 (home)
Over 2.5 hit in 1 of 5 games against TOR on record
L10 · Over 2.5
- Average
- 2
- −0.5 vs line
- Median
- 2
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 40%
- 4 of 10
- Price implies
- 45%
- at +120
- Books’ fair
- 42%
- margin removed
- Time on ice
- 17.5
- 10 games · 20 in 2025–26
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 2.5 42%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −14503 books | — | 9/10 | |
| −2403 books | — | 6/10 | |
| +1207 books | −1656 books | 4/10 | |
| +3253 books | — | 1/10 | |
| +7001 book | — | 0/10 | |
| +16001 book | — | 0/10 |
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel1 min ago | +132Best | −174 |
| Pinnacle1 min ago | +128 | −171 |
| Bovada1 min ago | +125 | −165 |
| DraftKings11 min ago | +120 | −160Best |
| Bally Bet1 min ago | +118 | −165 |
| betPARX1 min ago | +118 | −165 |
| BetRivers1 min ago | +118 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 3:48 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
2.5Over +125 → +120 since first seen