Nick Schmaltz

Utah Mammoth · C · #8

UTAH @ TOR · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Points, typical price −1803 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Kailer Yamamoto: Out (upper body)
Over 0.5 without him: 22 of 29; with him: 37 of 74 (103 games as teammates)
Teammate out
John Marino: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Over 0.5 without him: 3 of 8; with him: 56 of 95 (103 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Anthony Stolarz started TOR's last game
Saves: 230 of 255 (.902) over his last 10 games · 4 of TOR's last 10 starts · Sergei Bobrovsky started 6 · no probable starter posted yet
Defense vs forwards
TOR allow 6.31 points a game to forwards: 18th most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 6.80, 9th most

60%6 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Points cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).

at BUF, 2026-10-10: 1, cleared, 19.2 min
vs TOR, 2026-10-13: 1, cleared, 16.9 min
at EDM, 2026-10-15: 2, cleared, 19.3 min
vs EDM, 2026-10-17: 0, missed, 17 min
vs PIT, 2026-10-19: 2, cleared, 17.7 min
at SEA, 2026-10-22: 0, missed, 17.8 min
vs TB, 2026-10-24: 0, missed, 15 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-27: 1, cleared, 18.5 min
at PIT, 2026-10-29: 0, missed, 15.4 min
at PHI, 2026-11-01: 2, cleared, 18.4 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Clayton KellerRW
Mikhail SergachevD
Logan CooleyC
Kailer YamamotoRWOut
John MarinoDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Mammoth count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs TOR

Points: 1 in 16.9 min, Oct 13 (home)

Over 0.5 hit in 2 of 5 games against TOR on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.9; +0.4 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 64%; at −180
Books’ fair: 59%; margin removed
Time on ice: 17.5; 10 games · 20 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 0.5 59%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−1803 books	+1272 books	6/10
+2672 books	—	3/10
+9292 books	—	0/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings22 min ago	−165Best	+120
Pinnacle22 min ago	−180	+135Best
Bally Bet22 min ago	−182	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over −194 → −180 since first seen

Nick Schmaltz's full game log and splits