Mikael Backlund

Calgary Flames · C · #11

CGY @ SEA · Live

Over Under2.5

Over 2.5 Shots on Goal, typical price +1353 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

40%4 of 10L10

Over 2.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).

vs COL, 2026-10-08: 8, cleared, 17.7 min
vs ANA, 2026-10-10: 1, missed, 19.4 min
at ANA, 2026-10-13: 3, cleared, 21.2 min
at VGK, 2026-10-15: 1, missed, 18.7 min
vs CAR, 2026-10-18: 2, missed, 13.5 min
vs TOR, 2026-10-26: 1, missed, 18.5 min
at EDM, 2026-10-28: 2, missed, 18.5 min
vs SEA, 2026-10-30: 1, missed, 17.9 min
at COL, 2026-10-31: 5, cleared, 19.1 min
at SJ, 2026-11-02: 4, cleared, 20.8 min

ClearedMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

What's different on Wednesday

Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

WedOpposing goalie
Joey Daccord (Confirmed)
Saves: 242 of 275 (.880) over his last 10 games · 3 of SEA's last 10 starts · Philipp Grubauer started 7
WedDefense vs forwards
SEA allow 22.2 shots on goal a game to forwards: 3rd most of 32
14 games · last 10 games: 23.0, 4th most
Teammate out
Jonathan Huberdeau: Injured Reserve (hip)
Over 2.5 without him: 14 of 40; with him: 23 of 50 (90 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Connor Zary: Out (knee)
Over 2.5 without him: 8 of 19; with him: 30 of 76 (95 games as teammates)

Splits

Over 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 2.5 · L10

Matt CoronatoRW
Joel FarabeeLW
Matvei GridinRW
Jonathan HuberdeauLWInjured Reserve
Connor ZaryCOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out on Wednesday. Only games they were teammates on the Flames count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs SEA

Shots on Goal: 1 in 17.9 min, Oct 30 (home)

Over 2.5 hit in 6 of 10 games against SEA on record

L10 · Over 2.5

Average: 2.8; +0.3 vs line
Median: 2; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 4 of 10
Price implies: 43%; at +135
Books’ fair: 40%; margin removed
Time on ice: 18.5; 10 games · 18 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 2.5 40%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−9001 book	—	10/10
−2001 book	—	6/10
+1353 books	−1803 books	4/10
+3501 book	—	3/10
+8501 book	—	2/10
+20001 book	—	1/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
DraftKings28 hr ago	+140Best	−190
Pinnacle28 hr ago	+135	−180
Bally Bet28 hr ago	+123	−175Best
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 10:13 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

1.5 → 2.5 since first seen

Mikael Backlund's full game log and splits

This page last updated 10:13 PM ET.