Matt Boldy

Minnesota Wild · LW · #12

MIN @ PHI · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Points, typical price +1503 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Brock Faber: Injured Reserve (skull)
Over 1.5 without him: 3 of 16; with him: 28 of 87 (103 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Nick Foligno: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Over 1.5 without him: 5 of 15; with him: 6 of 29 (44 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Dan Vladar started PHI's last game
Saves: 265 of 298 (.889) over his last 10 games · 5 of PHI's last 10 starts · no probable starter posted yet
Defense vs forwards
PHI allow 6.69 points a game to forwards: 12th most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 5.90, 21st most

20%2 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Points cleared in 2 of his last 10 games (1 of 7 on the road).

at WPG, 2026-10-13: 0, missed, 22.3 min
vs STL, 2026-10-15: 4, cleared, 24.9 min
vs CBJ, 2026-10-18: 0, missed, 21.8 min
at EDM, 2026-10-20: 2, cleared, 22.5 min
at CGY, 2026-10-22: 0, missed, 25.1 min
at SEA, 2026-10-24: 1, missed, 17.2 min
at VAN, 2026-10-25: 1, missed, 22.7 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-27: 1, missed, 22.1 min
vs NYI, 2026-10-29: 1, missed, 21.2 min
at WSH, 2026-11-01: 1, missed, 21.3 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against PHI in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 0 of 4 against PHI on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L10

Kirill KaprizovLW
Quinn HughesD
Joel Eriksson EkC
Brock FaberDInjured Reserve
Nick FolignoLWInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Wild count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs PHI

Points: 1 in 20.7 min, Mar 12 (home)

Over 1.5 hit in 0 of 4 games against PHI on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 1.1; −0.4 vs line
Median: 1; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 20%; 2 of 10
Price implies: 40%; at +150
Books’ fair: 36%; margin removed
Time on ice: 22.1; 10 games · 21 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 36%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−3022 books	—	7/10
+1503 books	−2222 books	2/10
+4792 books	—	1/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
Pinnacle3 hr ago	+175Best	−240
DraftKings3 hr ago	+150	−205Best
Bally Bet3 hr ago	+148	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

+180 → +150 since first seen

Matt Boldy's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:12 PM ET.