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Matt Boldy

Minnesota Wild · LW · #12

MIN @ PHI · Today 7:00 PM
OverUnder3.5
Over 3.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1147 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • Teammate out

    Brock Faber: Injured Reserve (skull)

    Over 3.5 without him: 9 of 16; with him: 39 of 87 (103 games as teammates)

  • Teammate out

    Nick Foligno: Injured Reserve (upper body)

    Over 3.5 without him: 7 of 15; with him: 19 of 29 (44 games as teammates)

  • Opposing goalie

    Dan Vladar (Confirmed)

    Saves: 265 of 298 (.889) over his last 10 games · 5 of PHI's last 10 starts

  • Defense vs forwards

    PHI allow 21.8 shots on goal a game to forwards: 5th most of 32

    16 games · last 10 games: 19.5, 18th most

Game log against Over 3.5

50%5 of 10L10

Over 3.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 7 on the road).

  1. at WPG, 2026-10-13: 1, missed, 22.3 min
  2. vs STL, 2026-10-15: 8, cleared, 24.9 min
  3. vs CBJ, 2026-10-18: 6, cleared, 21.8 min
  4. at EDM, 2026-10-20: 3, missed, 22.5 min
  5. at CGY, 2026-10-22: 7, cleared, 25.1 min
  6. at SEA, 2026-10-24: 5, cleared, 17.2 min
  7. at VAN, 2026-10-25: 3, missed, 22.7 min
  8. at UTAH, 2026-10-27: 2, missed, 22.1 min
  9. vs NYI, 2026-10-29: 4, cleared, 21.2 min
  10. at WSH, 2026-11-01: 3, missed, 21.3 min
ClearedMissedThe 3.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 3.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against PHI in his last 10; Over 3.5 cleared in 2 of 4 against PHI on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 3.5 · L10
  • Kirill KaprizovLW

  • Quinn HughesD

  • Joel Eriksson EkC

  • Brock FaberDInjured Reserve

  • Nick FolignoLWInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Wild count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs PHI

Shots on Goal: 4 in 20.7 min, Mar 12 (home)

Over 3.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against PHI on record

L10 · Over 3.5

Average
4.2
+0.7 vs line
Median
3.5
±0 vs line
Hit rate
50%
5 of 10
Price implies
53%
at −114
Books’ fair
49%
margin removed
Time on ice
22.1
10 games · 21 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 3.5 49%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−50001 book—10/10
−10003 books—9/10
−2803 books—8/10
−1147 books−1236 books5/10
+1923 books—4/10
+3803 books—3/10
+8003 books—2/10
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 3.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 3.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 3.5Under 3.5
Bovada6 min ago−105Best−125
DraftKings14 min ago−105Best−125
Pinnacle6 min ago−106−125
FanDuel4 min ago−114−114Best
Bally Bet6 min ago−115−121
betPARX4 min ago−115−121
BetRivers4 min ago−115—
PrizePickspick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 4:03 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

Over +108 → −114 since first seen

Matt Boldy's full game log and splits