Matt Boldy

Minnesota Wild · LW · #12

MIN @ PHI · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Goals, typical price +1457 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Brock Faber: Injured Reserve (skull)
Over 0.5 without him: 4 of 16; with him: 39 of 87 (103 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Nick Foligno: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Over 0.5 without him: 6 of 15; with him: 9 of 29 (44 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Dan Vladar (Confirmed)
Saves: 265 of 298 (.889) over his last 10 games · 5 of PHI's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
PHI allow 2.56 goals a game to forwards: 20th most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 2.20, 26th most

20%2 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Goals cleared in 2 of his last 10 games (0 of 7 on the road).

at WPG, 2026-10-13: 0, missed, 22.3 min
vs STL, 2026-10-15: 3, cleared, 24.9 min
vs CBJ, 2026-10-18: 0, missed, 21.8 min
at EDM, 2026-10-20: 0, missed, 22.5 min
at CGY, 2026-10-22: 0, missed, 25.1 min
at SEA, 2026-10-24: 0, missed, 17.2 min
at VAN, 2026-10-25: 0, missed, 22.7 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-27: 0, missed, 22.1 min
vs NYI, 2026-10-29: 1, cleared, 21.2 min
at WSH, 2026-11-01: 0, missed, 21.3 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against PHI in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 2 of 4 against PHI on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Kirill KaprizovLW
Quinn HughesD
Joel Eriksson EkC
Brock FaberDInjured Reserve
Nick FolignoLWInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Wild count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs PHI

Goals: 1 in 20.7 min, Mar 12 (home)

Over 0.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against PHI on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.4; −0.1 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 20%; 2 of 10
Price implies: 41%; at +145
Books’ fair: 39%; margin removed
Time on ice: 22.1; 10 games · 21 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 0.5 39%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
+1457 books	−1872 books	2/10
+8596 books	—	1/10
+46346 books	—	1/10

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Goals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Bally Bet6 min ago	+148Best	—
betPARX3 min ago	+148Best	—
BetRivers3 min ago	+148Best	—
DraftKings13 min ago	+145	—
FanDuel3 min ago	+145	−200
Bovada6 min ago	+142	—
Pinnacle6 min ago	+128	−175Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 4:33 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over +155 → +145 since first seen

Matt Boldy's full game log and splits