Martin Necas

Colorado Avalanche · C · #88

COL @ CBJ · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Goals, typical price +2106 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightRest · back-to-back
Avalanche played last night (at CHI): a back-to-back
Teammate out
Josh Manson: Out (ankle)
Over 0.5 without him: 2 of 8; with him: 37 of 99 (107 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Cam Talbot (Confirmed)
Saves: 178 of 207 (.860) over his last 10 games · 5 of CBJ's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
CBJ allow 2.83 goals a game to forwards: 12th most of 32
12 games · last 10 games: 2.90, 9th most

40%4 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Goals cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 on the road).

at DAL, 2026-10-13: 2, cleared, 23.4 min
vs DAL, 2026-10-14: 0, missed, 22.4 min
vs PIT, 2026-10-16: 0, missed, 21 min
at PHI, 2026-10-19: 1, cleared, 17.7 min
at NJ, 2026-10-20: 0, missed, 19.1 min
vs TB, 2026-10-23: 1, cleared, 16.5 min
at NSH, 2026-10-25: 0, missed, 19.1 min
vs NJ, 2026-10-28: 0, missed, 19.6 min
vs CGY, 2026-10-31: 1, cleared, 20 min
at CHI, 2026-11-02: 0, missed, 16.5 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 lineTime on ice

Count only

Over 0.5 · L10

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Nathan MacKinnonC
Devon ToewsD
Artturi LehkonenLW
Josh MansonDOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Avalanche count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CBJ

Goals: 0 in 20.9 min, Jan 10 (home)

Over 0.5 hit in 0 of 6 games against CBJ on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.5; ±0 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 4 of 10
Price implies: 32%; at +210
Books’ fair: 30%; margin removed
Time on ice: 19.5; 10 games · 21.4 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 0.5 30%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
+2106 books	−2932 books	4/10
+11505 books	—	1/10
+70004 books	—	0/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Goals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings12 min ago	+215Best	—
Bally Bet4 min ago	+210	—
betPARX1 min ago	+210	—
BetRivers1 min ago	+210	—
FanDuel2 min ago	+210	−290Best
Pinnacle4 min ago	+210	−296
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 1:41 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over +205 → +210 since first seen

Martin Necas's full game log and splits