Luke Evangelista

New Jersey Devils · RW · #77

NJ @ NYI · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Points, typical price −1506 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Points hit in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 3 on the road).

vs VAN, 2026-10-10: 0, hit, 19 min
vs OTT, 2026-10-12: 0, hit, 11.7 min
vs COL, 2026-10-20: 2, missed, 16.9 min
vs ANA, 2026-10-22: 1, missed, 17.3 min
vs LA, 2026-10-24: 1, missed, 16.4 min
at DAL, 2026-10-27: 1, missed, 18.7 min
at COL, 2026-10-28: 0, hit, 17.5 min
at VGK, 2026-10-30: 0, hit, 18.7 min
vs EDM, 2026-11-03: 0, hit, 17.8 min
vs STL, 2026-11-05: 0, hit, 14.9 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 points.

What's different today

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Opposing goalie
Ilya Sorokin (Expected)
Saves: 244 of 268 (.910) over his last 10 games · 6 of NYI's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
NYI allow 5.80 points a game to forwards: 24th most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 5.90, 20th most
Time on ice
Last 5: 17.5 min · 2026–27: 17.3 (13 games)
Power play: 3.2 min last 5 · 3.4 2026–27
Rest
1 day off since Nov 5 vs STL

Splits

Under 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against NYI in his last 10; Under 0.5 hit in 5 of 6 against NYI on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 0.5 · L10

Jack HughesC
Jesper BrattLW
Nico HischierC

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Devils count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs NYI

Points: 0 in 18.9 min, Oct 3 (away)

Under 0.5 hit in 5 of 6 games against NYI on record

L10 · Under 0.5

Average: 0.5; ±0 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 60%; at −150
Books’ fair: 56%; margin removed
Our chance: 56%; estimate · fair −129

Research, not a pick. At −150 the price is worse than our fair −129, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−1096 books	−1501 book	6/10
+4406 books	—	9/10
+17001 book	—	10/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings2 min ago	+110Best	−150Best
Bally Bet2 min ago	−109	—
betPARX1 min ago	−109	—
BetRivers2 min ago	−109	—
Bovada2 min ago	−110	—
FanDuel2 min ago	−106	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:05 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.

Luke Evangelista's full game log and splits