Luke Evangelista

New Jersey Devils · RW · #77

NJ @ NYI · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Assists, typical price −2607 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Assists hit in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 3 on the road).

vs VAN, 2026-10-10: 0, hit, 19 min
vs OTT, 2026-10-12: 0, hit, 11.7 min
vs COL, 2026-10-20: 1, missed, 16.9 min
vs ANA, 2026-10-22: 1, missed, 17.3 min
vs LA, 2026-10-24: 1, missed, 16.4 min
at DAL, 2026-10-27: 1, missed, 18.7 min
at COL, 2026-10-28: 0, hit, 17.5 min
at VGK, 2026-10-30: 0, hit, 18.7 min
vs EDM, 2026-11-03: 0, hit, 17.8 min
vs STL, 2026-11-05: 0, hit, 14.9 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–1 assists.

What's different today

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Opposing goalie
Ilya Sorokin (Expected)
Saves: 244 of 268 (.910) over his last 10 games · 6 of NYI's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
NYI allow 3.13 assists a game to forwards: 26th most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 3.20, 21st most
Time on ice
Last 5: 17.5 min · 2026–27: 17.3 (13 games)
Power play: 3.2 min last 5 · 3.4 2026–27
Rest
1 day off since Nov 5 vs STL

Splits

Under 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against NYI in his last 10; Under 0.5 hit in 5 of 6 against NYI on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 0.5 · L10

Jack HughesC
Jesper BrattLW
Nico HischierC

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Devils count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs NYI

Assists: 0 in 18.9 min, Oct 3 (away)

Under 0.5 hit in 5 of 6 games against NYI on record

L10 · Under 0.5

Average: 0.4; −0.1 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 72%; at −260
Books’ fair: 66%; margin removed
Our chance: 67%; estimate · fair −199

Research, not a pick. At −221 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −199, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+1627 books	−2602 books	6/10
	+9002 books	—	10/10

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Pinnacle5 min ago	+162	−221Best
DraftKings5 min ago	+190Best	−260
Bally Bet5 min ago	+145	—
betPARX4 min ago	+145	—
BetRivers5 min ago	+145	—
Bovada5 min ago	+162	—
FanDuel4 min ago	+164	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:54 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.

Luke Evangelista's full game log and splits