Leo Carlsson

Anaheim Ducks · C · #91

ANA @ EDM · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under2.5

Over 2.5 Shots on Goal, typical price +1283 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

10%1 of 10L10

Over 2.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 1 of his last 10 games (0 of 5 on the road).

vs CGY, 2026-10-13: 2, missed, 22.3 min
vs BOS, 2026-10-16: 1, missed, 20.4 min
at NYR, 2026-10-19: 2, missed, 15.2 min
at NYI, 2026-10-20: 2, missed, 20.7 min
at NJ, 2026-10-22: 1, missed, 19.2 min
at PHI, 2026-10-24: 2, missed, 20.4 min
vs VAN, 2026-10-27: 1, missed, 16.2 min
vs BUF, 2026-10-29: 5, cleared, 22.2 min
vs OTT, 2026-11-01: 2, missed, 20.7 min
at VAN, 2026-11-03: 2, missed, 20.1 min

ClearedMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

What's different today

Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Troy Terry: Injured Reserve (hip)
Over 2.5 without him: 7 of 27; with him: 40 of 70 (97 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Ryan Poehling: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Over 2.5 without him: 4 of 18; with him: 43 of 79 (97 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Tristan Jarry (Expected)
Saves: 224 of 248 (.903) over his last 10 games · 6 of EDM's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
EDM allow 18.8 shots on goal a game to forwards: 22nd most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 19.6, 17th most

Splits

Over 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against EDM in his last 10; Over 2.5 cleared in 8 of 15 against EDM on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 2.5 · L10

Beckett SenneckeRW
Cutter GauthierLW
Jackson LaCombeD
Troy TerryRWInjured Reserve
Ryan PoehlingCInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Ducks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs EDM

Shots on Goal: 0 in 23.6 min, Oct 7 (home)

Over 2.5 hit in 8 of 15 games against EDM on record

L10 · Over 2.5

Average: 2; −0.5 vs line
Median: 2; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 10%; 1 of 10
Price implies: 44%; at +128
Books’ fair: 41%; margin removed
Time on ice: 19.7; 10 games · 19 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 2.5 41%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−15002 books	—	10/10
−2552 books	—	7/10
+1283 books	−1703 books	1/10
+2702 books	—	1/10
+6002 books	—	1/10
+15001 book	—	0/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
Pinnacle2 min ago	+143Best	−193
FanDuel2 min ago	+128	−170
DraftKings2 min ago	+110	−150Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:45 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Over: +130 → +128 since first seen

Leo Carlsson's full game log and splits