Leo Carlsson

Anaheim Ducks · C · #91

ANA @ EDM · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Goals, typical price +2206 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

40%4 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Goals cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 on the road).

vs CGY, 2026-10-13: 1, cleared, 22.3 min
vs BOS, 2026-10-16: 0, missed, 20.4 min
at NYR, 2026-10-19: 0, missed, 15.2 min
at NYI, 2026-10-20: 0, missed, 20.7 min
at NJ, 2026-10-22: 0, missed, 19.2 min
at PHI, 2026-10-24: 1, cleared, 20.4 min
vs VAN, 2026-10-27: 1, cleared, 16.2 min
vs BUF, 2026-10-29: 0, missed, 22.2 min
vs OTT, 2026-11-01: 0, missed, 20.7 min
at VAN, 2026-11-03: 1, cleared, 20.1 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

What's different today

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Troy Terry: Injured Reserve (hip)
Over 0.5 without him: 8 of 27; with him: 25 of 70 (97 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Ryan Poehling: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Over 0.5 without him: 5 of 18; with him: 28 of 79 (97 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Tristan Jarry (Expected)
Saves: 224 of 248 (.903) over his last 10 games · 6 of EDM's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
EDM allow 2.50 goals a game to forwards: 24th most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 2.40, 21st most

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against EDM in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 5 of 15 against EDM on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Beckett SenneckeRW
Cutter GauthierLW
Jackson LaCombeD
Troy TerryRWInjured Reserve
Ryan PoehlingCInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Ducks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs EDM

Goals: 0 in 23.6 min, Oct 7 (home)

Over 0.5 hit in 5 of 15 games against EDM on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.4; −0.1 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 4 of 10
Price implies: 31%; at +220
Books’ fair: 30%; margin removed
Time on ice: 19.7; 10 games · 19 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 0.5 30%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
+2206 books	−3292 books	4/10
+13005 books	—	0/10
+70004 books	—	0/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Goals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings10 min ago	+230Best	—
Pinnacle10 min ago	+230Best	−329
Bally Bet10 min ago	+220	—
betPARX6 min ago	+220	—
BetRivers4 min ago	+220	—
FanDuel4 min ago	+200	−280Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 8:50 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: +205 → +220 since first seen

Leo Carlsson's full game log and splits