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Kirill Kaprizov

Minnesota Wild · LW · #97

MIN @ PHI · Today 7:00 PM
OverUnder3.5
Over 3.5 Shots on Goal, typical price +1023 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • Teammate out

    Brock Faber: Injured Reserve (skull)

    Over 3.5 without him: 7 of 16; with him: 36 of 89 (105 games as teammates)

  • Teammate out

    Nick Foligno: Injured Reserve (upper body)

    Over 3.5 without him: 9 of 15; with him: 9 of 27 (42 games as teammates)

  • Opposing goalie

    Dan Vladar started PHI's last game

    Saves: 265 of 298 (.889) over his last 10 games · 5 of PHI's last 10 starts · no probable starter posted yet

  • Defense vs forwards

    PHI allow 21.8 shots on goal a game to forwards: 5th most of 32

    16 games · last 10 games: 19.5, 18th most

Game log against Over 3.5

50%5 of 10L10

Over 3.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 7 on the road).

  1. at WPG, 2026-10-13: 3, missed, 20 min
  2. vs STL, 2026-10-15: 5, cleared, 22.9 min
  3. vs CBJ, 2026-10-18: 5, cleared, 22.5 min
  4. at EDM, 2026-10-20: 3, missed, 21.8 min
  5. at CGY, 2026-10-22: 4, cleared, 24.9 min
  6. at SEA, 2026-10-24: 4, cleared, 17.9 min
  7. at VAN, 2026-10-25: 2, missed, 21.9 min
  8. at UTAH, 2026-10-27: 4, cleared, 24.6 min
  9. vs NYI, 2026-10-29: 3, missed, 21.8 min
  10. at WSH, 2026-11-01: 2, missed, 21.7 min
ClearedMissedThe 3.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 3.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against PHI in his last 10; Over 3.5 cleared in 0 of 4 against PHI on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 3.5 · L10

  • Quinn HughesD

  • Matt BoldyLW

  • Joel Eriksson EkC

  • Brock FaberDInjured Reserve

  • Nick FolignoLWInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Wild count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs PHI

Shots on Goal: 1 in 24.9 min, Mar 12 (home)

Over 3.5 hit in 0 of 4 games against PHI on record

L10 · Over 3.5

Average
3.5
±0 vs line
Median
3.5
±0 vs line
Hit rate
50%
5 of 10
Price implies
50%
at +102
Books’ fair
45%
margin removed
Time on ice
22
10 games · 22.4 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 3.5 45%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−40001 book—10/10
−6501 book—10/10
−2101 book—8/10
+1023 books−1433 books5/10
+2401 book—2/10
+5001 book—0/10
+10001 book—0/10
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 3.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 3.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 3.5Under 3.5
DraftKings4 hr ago+110Best−150
Bally Bet4 hr ago+102−143
Pinnacle4 hr ago+101−134Best
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 7:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

Over +101 → +102 since first seen

Kirill Kaprizov's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:12 PM ET.