Jake Sanderson
OTT @ BUF · Today 7:30 PMWhat's different today
Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayOpposing goalie
Colten Ellis (Expected)
Saves: 232 of 258 (.899) over his last 10 games · 3 of BUF's last 10 starts · Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen started 7
Teammate out
William Eklund: Injured Reserve (ankle)
Over 0.5 without him: 5 of 7; with him: 0 of 1 (8 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Warren Foegele: Injured Reserve (knee)
Over 0.5 without him: 3 of 3; with him: 7 of 14 (17 games as teammates)
Defense vs defensemen
BUF allow 2.36 points a game to defensemen: 11th most of 32
14 games · last 10 games: 2.30, 13th most
Game log against Over 0.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 0.5 Points cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 on the road).
Splits
Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against BUF in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 2 of 7 against BUF on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 0.5 · L10Tim StutzleC
Drake BathersonRW
Shane PintoC
William EklundLWInjured Reserve
Warren FoegeleLWInjured Reserve
The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Senators count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs BUF
Sanderson didn't play the Apr 2 meeting; points the last time Sanderson faced them: 0 (Dec 23, 2025)
Over 0.5 hit in 2 of 7 games against BUF on record
L10 · Over 0.5
- Average
- 1.2
- +0.7 vs line
- Median
- 1.5
- +1 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 59%
- at −142
- Books’ fair
- —
- needs both sides
- Time on ice
- 23.5
- 10 games · 25 in 2025–26
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −1421 book | pick'em only | 6/10 | |
| +3601 book | — | 5/10 | |
| +12001 book | — | 1/10 |
Compare 1 sportsbook and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel5 min ago | −142Best | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 3:34 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5Over: −146 → −142 since first seen


